Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mes Rafsanjan vs Esteghlal Khuzestan

Iran Iran

Persian Gulf Pro League Shohadaye Sanat Mes Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mes Rafsanjan play Esteghlal Khuzestan in the Persian Gulf Pro League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Mes Rafsanjan averaged 0.56 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. Esteghlal Khuzestan averaged 0.67 goals scored and 1.19 conceded. In past meetings, Mes Rafsanjan won 0, Esteghlal Khuzestan won 4, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 7, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.63 for Mes Rafsanjan and 0.88 for Esteghlal Khuzestan. This points to a Esteghlal Khuzestan double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Mes Rafsanjan
25%
Draws
48%
Esteghlal Khuzestan
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Esteghlal Khuzestan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence
  • Mes Rafsanjan picked up more points recently compared to Esteghlal Khuzestan.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.63 vs 0.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 58%
Over 2.5 Goals 31%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Mes Rafsanjan Clean Sheet 25%
Esteghlal Khuzestan Clean Sheet 21%
First Half Goal 52%
Second Half Goal 55%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mes Rafsanjan Esteghlal Khuzestan
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 4 6
Draws 7 8
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 0.56 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Persian Gulf Pro League
Mes Rafsanjan vs Esteghlal Khuzestan
0:1
Sep 26, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Mes Rafsanjan
2:0
Mar 14, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Mes Rafsanjan vs Esteghlal Khuzestan
0:0
Oct 17, 2024 Persian Gulf Pro League
Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Mes Rafsanjan
3:2
May 28, 2024 Persian Gulf Pro League
Mes Rafsanjan vs Esteghlal Khuzestan
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mes Rafsanjan Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Esteghlal Khuzestan Compare

Top Goalscorer Latifi G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mes Rafsanjan 29 / 100
Esteghlal Khuzestan 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mes Rafsanjan Esteghlal Khuzestan

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Esteghlal Khuzestan or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +42%
5.26
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +24%
4.00
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Mes Rafsanjan attacking → ← attacking Esteghlal Khuzestan

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mes Rafsanjan scored in 37% of their last 27 games.

Esteghlal Khuzestan let in goals in 67% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Mes Rafsanjan went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Esteghlal Khuzestan lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

19 Points in last 5 26
0.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.50
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Esteghlal TEH22118329:1641
2Tractor22109330:1239
3Sepahan22116524:1339
4Gol Gohar23106724:2436
5Chadormalu2298527:1935
6Persepolis2297623:1934
7Foolad22710521:1631
8Fajr Sepasi2386925:2730
9Kheybar Khorramabad2378822:2429
10Malavan2278713:2129
11Esteghlal Khuzestan2267916:2325
12Paykan2359915:2124
13Shams Azar Qazvin23313715:1922
14Aluminium Arak22571014:2122
15Zob Ahan21310812:1919
16Mes Rafsanjan22361313:2915