Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mes Rafsanjan vs Kheybar Khorramabad

Iran Iran

Persian Gulf Pro League Shohadaye Sanat Mes Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mes Rafsanjan play Kheybar Khorramabad in the Persian Gulf Pro League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Mes Rafsanjan averaged 0.56 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. Kheybar Khorramabad averaged 1 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, Mes Rafsanjan won 2, Kheybar Khorramabad won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jan 17, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.94 for Mes Rafsanjan and 1.13 for Kheybar Khorramabad. This points to a Kheybar Khorramabad double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Mes Rafsanjan
34%
Draws
41%
Kheybar Khorramabad
Draw rate projection: 34% Favored: Kheybar Khorramabad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Mes Rafsanjan picked up more points recently compared to Kheybar Khorramabad.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.94 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 58%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43%
Mes Rafsanjan Clean Sheet 21%
Kheybar Khorramabad Clean Sheet 16%
First Half Goal 52%
Second Half Goal 55%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mes Rafsanjan Kheybar Khorramabad
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 4 9
Draws 7 10
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 0.56 1
Goals Conceded 1.3 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2026 Persian Gulf Pro League
Mes Rafsanjan vs Kheybar Khorramabad
2:1
Aug 18, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Kheybar Khorramabad vs Mes Rafsanjan
3:2
May 15, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Mes Rafsanjan vs Kheybar Khorramabad
0:0
Jan 2, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Kheybar Khorramabad vs Mes Rafsanjan
1:2
Apr 24, 2017 Azadegan League
Kheybar Khorramabad vs Mes Rafsanjan
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mes Rafsanjan Compare

Top Goalscorer Afkham A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Arab F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Kheybar Khorramabad Compare

Top Goalscorer Sefid M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mes Rafsanjan 27 / 100
Kheybar Khorramabad 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mes Rafsanjan Kheybar Khorramabad

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Kheybar Khorramabad or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +47%
5.88
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +18.9%
3.13
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Mes Rafsanjan attacking → ← attacking Kheybar Khorramabad

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mes Rafsanjan scored in 37% of their last 27 games.

Kheybar Khorramabad let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Mes Rafsanjan went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Kheybar Khorramabad lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

19 Points in last 5 37
0.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Esteghlal TEH22118329:1641
2Tractor22109330:1239
3Sepahan22116524:1339
4Gol Gohar23106724:2436
5Chadormalu2298527:1935
6Persepolis2297623:1934
7Foolad22710521:1631
8Fajr Sepasi2386925:2730
9Kheybar Khorramabad2378822:2429
10Malavan2278713:2129
11Esteghlal Khuzestan2267916:2325
12Paykan2359915:2124
13Shams Azar Qazvin23313715:1922
14Aluminium Arak22571014:2122
15Zob Ahan21310812:1919
16Mes Rafsanjan22361313:2915