Sport Picks
Mes Rafsanjan vs Kheybar Khorramabad
Iran
Persian Gulf Pro League 2025/2026 Shohadaye Sanat Mes Stadium, Tafresh 
Match Events
2'
2'
Maali A.
22'
22'
Arasteh A.
36'
36'
Sub
Arasteh A. In: Shojaei A.
Out: Arasteh A.
AI Match Summary
The Persian Gulf Pro League 2025/2026 game between Mes Rafsanjan and Kheybar Khorramabad finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mes Rafsanjan.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
32%
/ Low Confidence
- Kheybar Khorramabad carry the better recent record into this one.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- Regular Persian Gulf Pro League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Mes Rafsanjan Clean Sheet 28%
Kheybar Khorramabad Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mes Rafsanjan | Kheybar Khorramabad |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 25 | 29 |
| Wins | 4 | 8 |
| Draws | 7 | 11 |
| Losses | 14 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 0.48 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.2 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.10 | 0.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 17, 2026 Persian Gulf Pro League
Mes Rafsanjan vs Kheybar Khorramabad
2:1
Aug 18, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Kheybar Khorramabad vs Mes Rafsanjan
3:2
May 15, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Mes Rafsanjan vs Kheybar Khorramabad
0:0
Jan 2, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Kheybar Khorramabad vs Mes Rafsanjan
1:2
Apr 24, 2017 Azadegan League
Kheybar Khorramabad vs Mes Rafsanjan
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Mes Rafsanjan Compare
Top Goalscorer Afkham A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Arab F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55
Kheybar Khorramabad Compare
Top Goalscorer Sefid M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mes Rafsanjan 38 / 100
Kheybar Khorramabad 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mes Rafsanjan Kheybar Khorramabad
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Kheybar Khorramabad Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Kheybar Khorramabad has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Solid form: Mes Rafsanjan remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Mes Rafsanjan scored in 32% of their last 25 games.
Scoring Trends
Mes Rafsanjan VS Kheybar Khorramabad
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0.5 Goals Conceded 1
13% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Mes Rafsanjan
(Home) 22 Sept
Kara Gostar Shabestar
0 : 0 Mes Rafsanjan
16 Sept
Mes Rafsanjan
0 : 0 Havadar SC
22 Jul
Mes Rafsanjan
0 : 3 Sanat Naft
22 Feb
Mes Rafsanjan
0 : 1 Esteghlal TEH
14 Feb
Paykan
0 : 2 Mes Rafsanjan
Page 1 of 5
16 Sept
Mes Rafsanjan
0 : 0 Havadar SC
22 Jul
Mes Rafsanjan
0 : 3 Sanat Naft
22 Feb
Mes Rafsanjan
0 : 1 Esteghlal TEH
07 Feb
Mes Rafsanjan
0 : 1 Esteghlal Khuzestan
28 Jan
Mes Rafsanjan
0 : 0 Zob Ahan
Page 1 of 3
Kheybar Khorramabad
(Away) 07 Sept
Mazandaran
1 : 0 Kheybar Khorramabad
02 Sept
Kheybar Khorramabad
2 : 0 Foolad
28 Aug
Aluminium Arak
2 : 2 Kheybar Khorramabad
24 Aug
Kheybar Khorramabad
2 : 3 Paykan
19 Aug
Mes Shahr Babak
1 : 1 Kheybar Khorramabad
Page 1 of 6
07 Sept
Mazandaran
1 : 0 Kheybar Khorramabad
28 Aug
Aluminium Arak
2 : 2 Kheybar Khorramabad
19 Aug
Mes Shahr Babak
1 : 1 Kheybar Khorramabad
20 Feb
Persepolis
1 : 2 Kheybar Khorramabad
06 Feb
Sepahan
1 : 0 Kheybar Khorramabad
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Esteghlal TEH | 22 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 29:16 | 41 |
| 2 | Tractor | 22 | 10 | 9 | 3 | 30:12 | 39 |
| 3 | Sepahan | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 24:13 | 39 |
| 4 | Gol Gohar | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 24:24 | 36 |
| 5 | Chadormalu | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 27:19 | 35 |
| 6 | Persepolis | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 23:19 | 34 |
| 7 | Foolad | 22 | 7 | 10 | 5 | 21:16 | 31 |
| 8 | Fajr Sepasi | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 25:27 | 30 |
| 9 | Kheybar Khorramabad | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 22:24 | 29 |
| 10 | Malavan | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 13:21 | 29 |
| 11 | Esteghlal Khuzestan | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 16:23 | 25 |
| 12 | Paykan | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 15:21 | 24 |
| 13 | Shams Azar Qazvin | 23 | 3 | 13 | 7 | 15:19 | 22 |
| 14 | Aluminium Arak | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 14:21 | 22 |
| 15 | Zob Ahan | 21 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 12:19 | 19 |
| 16 | Mes Rafsanjan | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 13:29 | 15 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
Relegation - Persian Gulf Pro League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
