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Stadium Background

Mes Rafsanjan vs Sanat Naft - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iran Iran

Persian Gulf Pro League 2025/2026 Shohadaye Sanat Mes Stadium, Tafresh
Wed, Jul 22, 2026
0 - 3
03:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Persian Gulf Pro League 2025/2026. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. Mes Rafsanjan have averaged 0.54 scored and 1.08 conceded recently, against Sanat Naft's 1.1 scored and 0.84 conceded. Past meetings favor Sanat Naft slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 22, 2026, ending 0:3. Model xG sits at 0.35 vs 1.00, favoring Sanat Naft. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Mes Rafsanjan
35%
Draws
13%
Sanat Naft
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Mes Rafsanjan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Sanat Naft have won more games recently than Mes Rafsanjan.
  • Model gives Mes Rafsanjan a 52% chance of winning this.
  • Sanat Naft arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Sanat Naft, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.6%
Mes Rafsanjan Clean Sheet 20%
Sanat Naft Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mes Rafsanjan Sanat Naft
Matches Played 26 31
Wins 6 13
Draws 7 10
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 0.54 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.08 0.84
Expected Goals (xG) 0.35 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 22, 2026 Persian Gulf Pro League
Mes Rafsanjan vs Sanat Naft
0:3
May 6, 2024 Persian Gulf Pro League
Sanat Naft vs Mes Rafsanjan
1:0
Nov 24, 2023 Persian Gulf Pro League
Mes Rafsanjan vs Sanat Naft
0:2
Mar 5, 2023 Persian Gulf Pro League
Mes Rafsanjan vs Sanat Naft
4:0
Oct 2, 2022 Persian Gulf Pro League
Sanat Naft vs Mes Rafsanjan
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mes Rafsanjan 58 / 100
Sanat Naft 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mes Rafsanjan Sanat Naft

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mes Rafsanjan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Mes Rafsanjan went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Sanat Naft lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Mes Rafsanjan scored in 38% of their last 26 games.

Scoring Trends

Mes Rafsanjan VS Sanat Naft
0.33 Goals Scored 1.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.38
17% Over 1.5 63%
17% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mes Rafsanjan

(Home)
05 Oct
Mes Rafsanjan
1 : 0
Ario Eslamshahr
29 Sept
Mes Rafsanjan
1 : 0
Besat Kermanshah
22 Sept
Kara Gostar Shabestar
0 : 0
Mes Rafsanjan
16 Sept
Mes Rafsanjan
0 : 0
Havadar SC
22 Jul
Mes Rafsanjan
0 : 3
Sanat Naft
Page 1 of 6

Sanat Naft

(Away)
09 Oct
Persepolis
3 : 1
Sanat Naft
12 Sept
Sanat Naft
1 : 2
Chadormalu
06 Sept
Paykan
2 : 0
Sanat Naft
02 Sept
Sanat Naft
0 : 0
Sepahan
29 Aug
Mes Shahr Babak
0 : 0
Sanat Naft
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Mes Rafsanjan 0
Sanat Naft 3