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Mes Shahr Babak vs Shenavarsazi Qeshm

Iran Iran

Azadegan League
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Match Events

26' Event
Samkan O.

AI Match Summary

The Azadegan League game between Mes Shahr Babak and Shenavarsazi Qeshm finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mes Shahr Babak.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Mes Shahr Babak
20%
Draws
38%
Shenavarsazi Qeshm
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mes Shahr Babak

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Shenavarsazi Qeshm haven't matched Mes Shahr Babak's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Mes Shahr Babak a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Azadegan League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24%
Mes Shahr Babak Clean Sheet 68%
Shenavarsazi Qeshm Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mes Shahr Babak Shenavarsazi Qeshm
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 19 6
Draws 8 11
Losses 4 14
Goals Scored 1.38 1
Goals Conceded 0.25 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.25 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 3, 2026 Azadegan League
Shenavarsazi Qeshm vs Mes Shahr Babak
1:3
Dec 12, 2025 Azadegan League
Mes Shahr Babak vs Shenavarsazi Qeshm
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mes Shahr Babak Compare

Top Goalscorer Samkan O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Shenavarsazi Qeshm Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mes Shahr Babak 51 / 100
Shenavarsazi Qeshm 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mes Shahr Babak Shenavarsazi Qeshm

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mes Shahr Babak's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Shenavarsazi Qeshm's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Solid form: Mes Shahr Babak remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mes Shahr Babak VS Shenavarsazi Qeshm
1.38 Goals Scored 1
0.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
25% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mazandaran34209548:1769
2Mes Shahr Babak341911441:1468
3Sanat Naft341612637:2160
4Pars Janoobi Jam341612644:2260
5Saipa341611730:1859
6Havadar SC341117632:2350
7Naft Bandar Abbas341017726:1947
8Fard341016824:1546
9Mes Kerman341015923:1845
10Ario Eslamshahr34916919:1843
11Besat Kermanshah349111425:3238
12Kara Gostar Shabestar349101517:3437
13Niroye Zamini348121428:3136
14Shenavarsazi Qeshm348111523:3635
15Naft Gachsaran347141325:4135
16Shahrdari Noshahr345151418:2930
17Navad Urmia344121816:4824
18Damash Gilan342131916:5619