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Meshakhte Tkibuli vs Chikhura Sachkhere

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3 2022 Agrano Vachadze Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Meshakhte Tkibuli play Chikhura Sachkhere in the Liga 3 2022. Meshakhte Tkibuli are favorites here. Recently, Meshakhte Tkibuli averaged 1.24 goals scored and 1.27 conceded. Chikhura Sachkhere averaged 0.74 goals scored and 3.35 conceded. In past meetings, Meshakhte Tkibuli won 4, Chikhura Sachkhere won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 7, 2023 ended 1:5. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.85 for Meshakhte Tkibuli and 0.88 for Chikhura Sachkhere. This points to a Meshakhte Tkibuli double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Meshakhte Tkibuli
15%
Draws
15%
Chikhura Sachkhere
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Meshakhte Tkibuli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Meshakhte Tkibuli picked up more points recently compared to Chikhura Sachkhere.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.85 vs 0.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 65%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
Over 3.5 Goals 39%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
Meshakhte Tkibuli Clean Sheet 25%
Chikhura Sachkhere Clean Sheet 17%
First Half Goal 71%
Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Meshakhte Tkibuli Chikhura Sachkhere
Matches Played 41 34
Wins 14 2
Draws 12 1
Losses 15 31
Goals Scored 1.24 0.74
Goals Conceded 1.27 3.35

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 7, 2023 Liga 3
Chikhura Sachkhere vs Meshakhte Tkibuli
1:5
Jun 11, 2023 Liga 3
Meshakhte Tkibuli vs Chikhura Sachkhere
4:0
Nov 11, 2022 Liga 3
Meshakhte Tkibuli vs Chikhura Sachkhere
6:0
Jun 19, 2022 Liga 3
Chikhura Sachkhere vs Meshakhte Tkibuli
1:4
Mar 9, 2011 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Chikhura Sachkhere vs Meshakhte Tkibuli
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Meshakhte Tkibuli 68 / 100
Chikhura Sachkhere 17 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Meshakhte Tkibuli Chikhura Sachkhere

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Meshakhte Tkibuli Win (1)
Secondary Pick Meshakhte Tkibuli & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +12.7%
1.61
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.69
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Meshakhte Tkibuli attacking → ← attacking Chikhura Sachkhere

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Meshakhte Tkibuli scored in 73% of their last 41 games.

Chikhura Sachkhere let in goals in 97% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 4.60 goals.

Meshakhte Tkibuli went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Chikhura Sachkhere lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

54 Points in last 5 7
0.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Dinamo Tbilisi 230225372:2271
2Kolkheti 191330216376:2969
3Dusheti30169556:2557
4FC Kolkheti Khobi30159653:3254
5FC Tbilisi 202530149765:4351
6Gori301551058:3850
7Iberia 1999 2301341346:4443
8Borjomi301251347:4041
9Orbi301161349:5239
10Bakhmaro Chokhatauri301081238:4238
11Tbilisi City301151438:4838
12Guria301141542:4937
13FC Merani-91 Tbilisi II301141537:5037
14Meshakhte Tkibuli301051535:3935
15Zestafoni30432318:7715
16Chikhura Sachkhere30012919:1191