Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Meshakhte Tkibuli vs Dinamo Tbilisi

Georgia Georgia

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga Agrano Vachadze Stadium, Ambrolauri
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Kurdic N.
Assist: Ninua N.
20' Event
Vatsadze M.
Assist: Kharaishvili G.
22'
Gabiskiria B.

AI Match Summary

Dinamo Tbilisi in this Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga matchup, with the score ending 1-6 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dinamo Tbilisi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Meshakhte Tkibuli
22%
Draws
60%
Dinamo Tbilisi
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Dinamo Tbilisi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Dinamo Tbilisi have won more games recently than Meshakhte Tkibuli.
  • Win probability leans Dinamo Tbilisi's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Dinamo Tbilisi have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Meshakhte Tkibuli Clean Sheet 10%
Dinamo Tbilisi Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Meshakhte Tkibuli Dinamo Tbilisi
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 6 12
Draws 10 10
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1 1.88
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Meshakhte Tkibuli vs Dinamo Tbilisi
1:6
Apr 17, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Dinamo Tbilisi vs Meshakhte Tkibuli
1:1
Feb 21, 2025 Club Friendly
Dinamo Tbilisi vs Meshakhte Tkibuli
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Meshakhte Tkibuli Compare

Top Goalscorer Kvirkvia M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Dinamo Tbilisi Compare

Top Goalscorer Yoro A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kurdic N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Meshakhte Tkibuli 18 / 100
Dinamo Tbilisi 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Meshakhte Tkibuli Dinamo Tbilisi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DIN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Meshakhte Tkibuli scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Dinamo Tbilisi has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Meshakhte Tkibuli went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Meshakhte Tkibuli VS Dinamo Tbilisi
1 Goals Scored 1.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Meshakhte Tkibuli

(Home)
25 Jul
Gonio
1 : 2
Meshakhte Tkibuli
14 Jul
Meshakhte Tkibuli
2 : 4
Urartu
23 Jun
Iberia 1999
2 : 1
Meshakhte Tkibuli
18 Jun
Meshakhte Tkibuli
1 : 1
Gagra
13 Jun
FC Rustavi
1 : 0
Meshakhte Tkibuli
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Dinamo Tbilisi

(Away)
26 Jul
Guria
1 : 0
Dinamo Tbilisi
23 Jul
Dinamo Tbilisi
3 : 0
Zalgiris
16 Jul
Dinamo Tbilisi
1 : 1
Mondorf
09 Jul
Mondorf
1 : 2
Dinamo Tbilisi
01 Jul
Dinamo Tbilisi
1 : 0
Dila Gori
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Iberia 199919104527:1834
2FC Rustavi1995522:1832
3Dinamo Tbilisi1987431:2131
4Torpedo Kutaisi1976630:1927
5Dinamo Batumi1976628:3027
6Dila Gori1982921:1926
7Samgurali1974825:3225
8Spaeri1957725:2522
9Gagra1957718:2422
10Meshakhte Tkibuli19181013:3411
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2027 (Main)