Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mesolongi AE vs Panelefsiniakos F.C.

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

48' Event
Tsiavos C.
55' Event
Tsiavos C.
73' Event
Michalopoulos A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Panelefsiniakos F.C. in this Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Panelefsiniakos F.C..

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Mesolongi AE
11%
Draws
80%
Panelefsiniakos F.C.
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Panelefsiniakos F.C.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Mesolongi AE haven't matched Panelefsiniakos F.C.'s recent run of results.
  • Panelefsiniakos F.C. are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Mesolongi AE Clean Sheet 10%
Panelefsiniakos F.C. Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mesolongi AE Panelefsiniakos F.C.
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 0 9
Draws 3 2
Losses 27 19
Goals Scored 0.25 0.5
Goals Conceded 3.5 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.25 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.50 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 11, 2024 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
Mesolongi AE vs Panelefsiniakos F.C.
1:3
Oct 7, 2023 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
Panelefsiniakos F.C. vs Mesolongi AE
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mesolongi AE Compare

Avg xG / game 0.19
Avg xA / game 0.13

Panelefsiniakos F.C. Compare

Top Goalscorer Tsiavos C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Fotopoulos A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mesolongi AE 10 / 100
Panelefsiniakos F.C. 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mesolongi AE Panelefsiniakos F.C.

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Panelefsiniakos F.C.'s defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Panelefsiniakos F.C.'s recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Mesolongi AE scored in 47% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Mesolongi AE VS Panelefsiniakos F.C.
0.25 Goals Scored 0.5
3.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mesolongi AE

(Home)
28 Apr
Mesolongi AE
1 : 2
Ermionidas-Ermis
24 Apr
Mykonos
3 : 0
Mesolongi AE
20 Apr
Filiatron
5 : 0
Mesolongi AE
14 Apr
Mesolongi AE
1 : 4
Korinthos
07 Apr
Thyella Diastavroseos
2 : 0
Mesolongi AE
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Panelefsiniakos F.C.

(Away)
28 Apr
Panelefsiniakos F.C.
2 : 5
Ellas Syrou
23 Apr
Vyzas FC
4 : 4
Panelefsiniakos F.C.
20 Apr
Panelefsiniakos F.C.
0 : 1
Marko
14 Apr
Ialisos
2 : 1
Panelefsiniakos F.C.
07 Apr
Panelefsiniakos F.C.
0 : 1
Kyanos Astir Varis
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Panargiakos34237449:1376
2Korinthos34217658:2970
3Thyella Diastavroseos34198752:2865
4Ellas Syrou342031166:3063
5Kyanos Astir Varis34188855:2262
6Marko341681042:3656
7Ialisos341671140:3455
8Rodos341510951:2955
9Panegialios FC341741356:4355
10Mykonos341561351:3551
11Afantou3413111042:3650
12PAO Varda341341733:4943
13Pyliou341071735:4837
14Panelefsiniakos F.C.341122136:6635
15Vyzas FC34891732:6433
16Filiatron345111835:5423
17Ermionidas-Ermis34572224:5822
18Mesolongi AE34033116:993
Promotion - Super League 2 2024/2025 (Main)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Relegation Play-offs (Main)