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Mestre vs Brian Lignano

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Rabbas M.
49' Event
Mutavcic M.
52' Event
Ibe C.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group C game between Mestre and Brian Lignano finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Brian Lignano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Mestre
6%
Draws
90%
Brian Lignano
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Brian Lignano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Brian Lignano's 2.38 goals per match outpaces what Mestre have produced (0.88).
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Brian Lignano taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Mestre Clean Sheet 12%
Brian Lignano Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mestre Brian Lignano
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 13
Draws 9 8
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 0.88 2.38
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2026 Serie D - Group C
Mestre vs Brian Lignano
1:4
Nov 23, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Brian Lignano vs Mestre
1:0
Nov 5, 2025 Coppa Italia Serie D
Mestre vs Brian Lignano
1:0
Mar 9, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Brian Lignano vs Mestre
0:0
Nov 3, 2024 Serie D - Group C
Mestre vs Brian Lignano
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mestre Compare

Top Goalscorer Rabbas M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Brian Lignano Compare

Top Goalscorer Mutavcic M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ibe C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mestre 10 / 100
Brian Lignano 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mestre Brian Lignano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BRI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mestre's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Brian Lignano let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Mestre stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mestre VS Brian Lignano
0.88 Goals Scored 2.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Mestre

(Home)
17 May
Legnago Salus
2 : 0
Mestre
03 May
Mestre
1 : 0
Treviso
26 Apr
Altavilla
1 : 0
Mestre
19 Apr
Mestre
1 : 1
Legnago Salus
12 Apr
Luparense FC
1 : 2
Mestre
Page 1 of 6

Brian Lignano

(Away)
03 May
Adriese
0 : 4
Brian Lignano
26 Apr
Brian Lignano
1 : 1
Bassano Virtus
19 Apr
Vigasio
1 : 3
Brian Lignano
11 Apr
Brian Lignano
4 : 2
Portogruaro
02 Apr
Mestre
1 : 4
Brian Lignano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Treviso34216750:2569
2Legnago Salus34187963:4161
3Clodiense34179847:2960
4Este341413740:2955
5Mestre341413737:2955
6Cjarlins Muzane341312941:3951
7Brian Lignano341681058:3450
8Conegliano3413111036:2850
9Bassano Virtus341214837:2750
10Campodarsego341391237:3448
11Altavilla341016828:2446
12Calvi Noale341351638:4044
13Luparense FC3410131136:3943
14Vigasio348141244:4638
15San Luigi348101633:5434
16FC Obermais348101633:4634
17Adriese34562324:6218
18Portogruaro34182525:8111
Promotion - Serie D - Group C (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C (Additional match)