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Mestre vs Brian Lignano

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Rabbas M.
49' Event
Mutavcic M.
52' Event
Ibe C.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 game between Mestre and Brian Lignano finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Brian Lignano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Mestre
30%
Draws
23%
Brian Lignano
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mestre

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mestre come out ahead of Brian Lignano on wins alone.
  • 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Mestre Clean Sheet 68%
Brian Lignano Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mestre Brian Lignano
Matches Played 34 29
Wins 14 12
Draws 12 7
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.03 1.59
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2026 Serie D - Group C
Mestre vs Brian Lignano
1:4
Nov 23, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Brian Lignano vs Mestre
1:0
Nov 5, 2025 Coppa Italia Serie D
Mestre vs Brian Lignano
1:0
Mar 9, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Brian Lignano vs Mestre
0:0
Nov 3, 2024 Serie D - Group C
Mestre vs Brian Lignano
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mestre Compare

Top Goalscorer Rabbas M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Brian Lignano Compare

Top Goalscorer Mutavcic M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ibe C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mestre 41 / 100
Brian Lignano 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mestre Brian Lignano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mestre Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mestre's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Brian Lignano let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Mestre stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mestre VS Brian Lignano
1 Goals Scored 2.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Mestre

(Home)
16 Sept
Bassano Virtus
0 : 0
Mestre
12 Sept
Mestre
1 : 1
Luparense FC
06 Sept
Calvi Noale
0 : 2
Mestre
17 May
Legnago Salus
2 : 0
Mestre
03 May
Mestre
1 : 0
Treviso
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Brian Lignano

(Away)
16 Sept
Calcio San Dona
2 : 1
Brian Lignano
13 Sept
Virtus Bolzano
2 : 1
Brian Lignano
06 Sept
Brian Lignano
0 : 2
Este
03 May
Adriese
0 : 4
Brian Lignano
26 Apr
Brian Lignano
1 : 1
Bassano Virtus
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Treviso 34 21 6 7 50:25 69
2 Legnago Salus 34 18 7 9 63:41 61
3 Clodiense 34 17 9 8 47:29 60
4 Este 34 14 13 7 40:29 55
5 Mestre 34 14 13 7 37:29 55
6 Cjarlins Muzane 34 13 12 9 41:39 51
7 Brian Lignano 34 16 8 10 58:34 50
8 Conegliano 34 13 11 10 36:28 50
9 Bassano Virtus 34 12 14 8 37:27 50
10 Campodarsego 34 13 9 12 37:34 48
11 Altavilla 34 10 16 8 28:24 46
12 Calvi Noale 34 13 5 16 38:40 44
13 Luparense FC 34 10 13 11 36:39 43
14 Vigasio 34 8 14 12 44:46 38
15 San Luigi 34 8 10 16 33:54 34
16 FC Obermais 34 8 10 16 33:46 34
17 Adriese 34 5 6 23 24:62 18
18 Portogruaro 34 1 8 25 25:81 11
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Additional match)