Sport Picks
Match Events
72'
72'
Bari J.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-0. The second leg ended 1-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
20%
52%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Brian Lignano
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
52%
/ Medium Confidence
- Brian Lignano's 1.66 goals per match outpaces what Mestre have produced (1).
- Brian Lignano are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
- Historical meetings favor Brian Lignano, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Mestre Clean Sheet 12%
Brian Lignano Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mestre | Brian Lignano |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 13 |
| Draws | 9 | 8 |
| Losses | 8 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.66 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.9 | 0.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.76 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 2, 2026 Serie D - Group C
Mestre vs Brian Lignano
1:4
Nov 23, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Brian Lignano vs Mestre
1:0
Nov 5, 2025 Coppa Italia Serie D
Mestre vs Brian Lignano
1:0
Mar 9, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Brian Lignano vs Mestre
0:0
Nov 3, 2024 Serie D - Group C
Mestre vs Brian Lignano
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Mestre Compare
Top Goalscorer Bari J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38
Brian Lignano Compare
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mestre 10 / 100
Brian Lignano 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mestre Brian Lignano
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick BRI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Mestre found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).
Brian Lignano let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Mestre remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Mestre VS Brian Lignano
0.88 Goals Scored 2.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Mestre
(Home) 17 May
Legnago Salus
2 : 0 Mestre
03 May
Mestre
1 : 0 Treviso
26 Apr
Altavilla
1 : 0 Mestre
19 Apr
Mestre
1 : 1 Legnago Salus
12 Apr
Luparense FC
1 : 2 Mestre
Page 1 of 6
03 May
Mestre
1 : 0 Treviso
19 Apr
Mestre
1 : 1 Legnago Salus
02 Apr
Mestre
1 : 4 Brian Lignano
22 Mar
Mestre
0 : 1 Campodarsego
01 Mar
Mestre
1 : 0 Adriese
Page 1 of 3
Brian Lignano
(Away) 03 May
Adriese
0 : 4 Brian Lignano
26 Apr
Brian Lignano
1 : 1 Bassano Virtus
19 Apr
Vigasio
1 : 3 Brian Lignano
11 Apr
Brian Lignano
4 : 2 Portogruaro
02 Apr
Mestre
1 : 4 Brian Lignano
Page 1 of 6
03 May
Adriese
0 : 4 Brian Lignano
19 Apr
Vigasio
1 : 3 Brian Lignano
02 Apr
Mestre
1 : 4 Brian Lignano
21 Mar
San Luigi
0 : 6 Brian Lignano
01 Mar
Altavilla
0 : 1 Brian Lignano
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Asti Calcio 2
Chisola 0
Ligorna 1
NovaRomentin 2
Vado 3
Sestri Levante 0
Tau 1
Pistoiese 3
Piacenza 2
SCD Progresso 1
Pavia 2
Sant'Angelo 0
Prato 2
Montevarchi 1
Correggese 2
Imolese 1
Sondrio 1
Breno 0
Folgore Caratese 2
Club Milano 3
AC Milan U23 2
Varesina 3
Brusaporto 0
Ciserano-Bergamo 1
Chievo 0
Rovato Vertovese 1
Este 3
Vigasio 2
Cjarlins Muzane 1
Brian Lignano 2
Luparense FC 0
Mestre 1
Fossombrone 0
Ancona 1
Foligno 0
Atletico Ascoli 2
Orvietana 2
Siena 0
Follonica Gavorrano 0
Valmontone 1
Notaresco Calcio 2
Termoli 0
Albalonga 2
Aquila Calcio 1
Grosseto 0
Unipomezia 1
Trastevere Calcio 2
Budoni Calcio 0
Martina Calcio 3
Sarnese 1
Ferrandina 2
Francavilla 3
A.C. Savoia 2
Paganese 1
Citta di Fasano 3
Gravina 0
Nocerina 4
Gelbison 2
Sambiase 0
Reggina 1
Castrumfavara 3
Igea Virtus 1
Enna 0
Sancataldese 2
1/16-finals
Asti Calcio 3
NovaRomentin 2
Vado 0
Pistoiese 3
Piacenza 2
Pavia 1
Prato 1
Correggese 4
Sondrio 0
Club Milano 3
Varesina 4
Ciserano-Bergamo 1
Rovato Vertovese 1
Este 3
Brian Lignano 0
Mestre 1
Ancona 1
Atletico Ascoli 0
Orvietana 0
Valmontone 1
Notaresco Calcio 2
Albalonga 1
Unipomezia 3
Trastevere Calcio 1
Martina Calcio 1
Francavilla 2
A.C. Savoia 3
Citta di Fasano 4
Nocerina 3
Reggina 2
Castrumfavara 3
Sancataldese 2
1/8-finals
Asti Calcio 1
Pistoiese 3
Piacenza 0
Correggese 1
Club Milano 1
Varesina 0
Este 1
Mestre 2
Ancona 2
Valmontone 1
Notaresco Calcio 0
Unipomezia 1
Francavilla 3
Citta di Fasano 2
Nocerina 2
Castrumfavara 0
Quarter-finals
Pistoiese 2
Correggese 0
Club Milano 1
Mestre 0
Ancona 2
Unipomezia 1
Francavilla 1
Nocerina 0
Semi-finals
Pistoiese 3
Club Milano 1
Ancona 2
Francavilla 1
Final
Pistoiese 3
Ancona 0
