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Mestre vs Chions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Marcandella D.
26' Event
Bangal F.
63' Event
Valenta E.

AI Match Summary

Mestre in this Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mestre.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Mestre
30%
Draws
23%
Chions
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mestre

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mestre lately — more wins on the board than Chions.
  • Win probability leans Mestre's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Mestre Clean Sheet 68%
Chions Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mestre Chions
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 5
Draws 11 10
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 0.93 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 2, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Mestre vs Chions
2:1
Oct 6, 2024 Serie D - Group C
Chions vs Mestre
3:1
Jan 28, 2024 Serie D - Group C
Mestre vs Chions
2:0
Oct 1, 2023 Serie D - Group C
Chions vs Mestre
1:2
Feb 24, 2021 Serie D - Group C
Mestre vs Chions
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mestre Compare

Top Goalscorer Marcandella D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bangal F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Chions Compare

Top Goalscorer Valenta E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mestre 59 / 100
Chions 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mestre Chions

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mestre Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chions let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Mestre found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Recent resilience: Mestre stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mestre VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mestre

(Home)
16 Sept
Bassano Virtus
0 : 0
Mestre
12 Sept
Mestre
1 : 1
Luparense FC
06 Sept
Calvi Noale
0 : 2
Mestre
17 May
Legnago Salus
2 : 0
Mestre
03 May
Mestre
1 : 0
Treviso
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Chions

(Away)
04 May
Chions
2 : 1
Calvi Noale
27 Apr
Brusaporto
3 : 2
Chions
17 Apr
Chions
1 : 2
Brian Lignano
12 Apr
Dolomiti Bellunesi
3 : 1
Chions
06 Apr
Chions
1 : 1
Treviso
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dolomiti Bellunesi 38 23 9 6 65:39 78
2 Treviso 38 22 8 8 59:32 74
3 Villa Valle 38 19 10 9 62:44 67
4 Adriese 38 18 12 8 55:31 66
5 Mestre 38 19 7 12 40:34 64
6 Campodarsego 38 15 17 6 52:36 62
7 Brusaporto 38 16 12 10 46:37 60
8 Luparense FC 38 13 17 8 48:36 56
9 Real Calepina 38 15 10 13 44:44 55
10 Cjarlins Muzane 38 15 10 13 50:49 55
11 Este 38 14 12 12 50:50 54
12 Brian Lignano 38 12 12 14 45:49 48
13 Calvi Noale 38 12 11 15 44:44 47
14 Bassano Virtus 38 11 14 13 43:36 47
15 Portogruaro 38 10 16 12 32:36 46
16 Caravaggio 38 11 8 19 42:54 41
17 Ciserano-Bergamo 38 9 13 16 42:55 40
18 Chions 38 6 12 20 35:59 30
19 Montecchio Maggiore 38 6 9 23 32:55 27
20 Lavis 38 3 3 32 25:91 12
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 (Play Out)