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Mestre vs Fontanafredda

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2015/2016
Mestre Logo

Mestre

2 - 2
FT
Fontanafredda Logo

Fontanafredda

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group C 2015/2016 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Mestre
35%
Draws
32%
Fontanafredda
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mestre lately — more wins on the board than Fontanafredda.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Mestre Clean Sheet 20%
Fontanafredda Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mestre Fontanafredda
Matches Played 43 30
Wins 17 6
Draws 15 12
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.21 1.2
Goals Conceded 0.98 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2016 Serie D - Group C
Mestre vs Fontanafredda
2:2
Sep 20, 2015 Serie D - Group C
Fontanafredda vs Mestre
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mestre 32 / 100
Fontanafredda 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mestre Fontanafredda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fontanafredda has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Mestre scored in 65% of their last 43 games.

Mestre has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mestre VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mestre

(Home)
16 Sept
Bassano Virtus
0 : 0
Mestre
12 Sept
Mestre
1 : 1
Luparense FC
06 Sept
Calvi Noale
0 : 2
Mestre
17 May
Legnago Salus
2 : 0
Mestre
03 May
Mestre
1 : 0
Treviso
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Fontanafredda

(Away)
22 May
Montebelluna
2 : 0
Fontanafredda
08 May
Fontanafredda
3 : 2
Calvi Noale
01 May
Tamai
3 : 3
Fontanafredda
24 Apr
Fontanafredda
0 : 0
Campodarsego
17 Apr
Abano
0 : 2
Fontanafredda
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Venezia 38 27 9 2 89:26 90
2 Campodarsego 38 22 13 3 56:31 79
3 Este 38 21 13 4 61:22 76
4 AC Belluno 38 18 13 7 52:38 67
5 Virtus Verona 38 17 12 9 64:37 63
6 Luparense FC 38 16 10 12 65:57 58
7 Tamai 38 13 14 11 45:43 53
8 Mestre 38 13 12 13 71:54 51
9 Abano 38 12 13 13 50:47 49
10 Levico Terme 38 12 12 14 53:53 48
11 USD Dro 38 13 9 16 35:53 48
12 Calvi Noale 38 11 15 12 40:43 48
13 Union Feltre 38 11 12 15 50:56 45
14 Fincantieri Monfalcone 38 12 7 19 47:57 43
15 Montebelluna 38 13 4 21 50:62 43
16 Triestina 38 9 12 17 40:57 39
17 Liventina 38 10 9 19 45:62 39
18 Fontanafredda 38 8 15 15 44:62 39
19 Giorgione 38 9 11 18 42:74 38
20 Sacilese 38 2 7 29 26:91 13
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2015/2016 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2015/2016 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2015/2016 (Play Out)