Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mestre vs Vigasio - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Bangal F.
(Penalty)
54' Event
Odogwu C.
70' Event
Posocco F.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 game between Mestre and Vigasio finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mestre.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Mestre
30%
Draws
23%
Vigasio
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mestre

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Vigasio haven't matched Mestre's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Mestre's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Mestre Clean Sheet 68%
Vigasio Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mestre Vigasio
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 6
Draws 12 11
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.13 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.29
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Serie D - Group C
Mestre vs Vigasio
2:1
Oct 22, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Vigasio vs Mestre
2:2
Feb 16, 2020 Serie D - Group C
Mestre vs Vigasio
0:0
Oct 13, 2019 Serie D - Group C
Vigasio vs Mestre
1:2
Apr 23, 2017 Serie D - Group C
Vigasio vs Mestre
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mestre Compare

Top Goalscorer Posocco F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Vigasio Compare

Top Goalscorer Odogwu C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.17
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mestre 50 / 100
Vigasio 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mestre Vigasio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mestre Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mestre found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (31 games).

Vigasio let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Mestre has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mestre VS Vigasio
1 Goals Scored 1.33
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.83
75% Over 1.5 67%
25% Over 2.5 67%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Mestre

(Home)
07 Oct
Mestre
0 : 2
Schio
04 Oct
Mestre
1 : 1
Campodarsego
27 Sept
FC Obermais
2 : 2
Mestre
20 Sept
Mestre
3 : 2
Altavilla
16 Sept
Bassano Virtus
0 : 0
Mestre
Page 1 of 7

Vigasio

(Away)
17 May
Vigasio
2 : 3
FC Obermais
03 May
Vigasio
1 : 4
Legnago Salus
26 Apr
Luparense FC
1 : 0
Vigasio
19 Apr
Vigasio
1 : 3
Brian Lignano
12 Apr
Clodiense
0 : 1
Vigasio
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Treviso 34 21 6 7 50:25 69
2 Legnago Salus 34 18 7 9 63:41 61
3 Clodiense 34 17 9 8 47:29 60
4 Este 34 14 13 7 40:29 55
5 Mestre 34 14 13 7 37:29 55
6 Cjarlins Muzane 34 13 12 9 41:39 51
7 Brian Lignano 34 16 8 10 58:34 50
8 Conegliano 34 13 11 10 36:28 50
9 Bassano Virtus 34 12 14 8 37:27 50
10 Campodarsego 34 13 9 12 37:34 48
11 Altavilla 34 10 16 8 28:24 46
12 Calvi Noale 34 13 5 16 38:40 44
13 Luparense FC 34 10 13 11 36:39 43
14 Vigasio 34 8 14 12 44:46 38
15 San Luigi 34 8 10 16 33:54 34
16 FC Obermais 34 8 10 16 33:46 34
17 Adriese 34 5 6 23 24:62 18
18 Portogruaro 34 1 8 25 25:81 11
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Additional match)