Sport Picks
FC Kharkiv vs FC Chernihiv
Ukraine
Ukrainian Cup Kolos Stadium, Kovalivka 
Match Events
4'
4'
Shushko P.
19'
19'
Sub
Stolyarchuk A. In: Shalfeev Y.
Out: Stolyarchuk A.
27'
27'
Arevalo Chaparro J. N.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 0-1, with FC Chernihiv advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
30%
34%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: FC Kharkiv
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
66%
/ Medium Confidence
- FC Kharkiv carry the better recent record into this one.
- 36% — that's where the model lands on FC Kharkiv taking it.
- FC Kharkiv have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor FC Chernihiv, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
FC Kharkiv Clean Sheet 16%
FC Chernihiv Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FC Kharkiv | FC Chernihiv |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 26 |
| Wins | 11 | 8 |
| Draws | 9 | 6 |
| Losses | 9 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.75 | 0.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.13 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.13 | 1.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 22, 2026 Ukrainian Cup
FC Kharkiv vs FC Chernihiv
0:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
FC Kharkiv 36 / 100
FC Chernihiv 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
FC Kharkiv FC Chernihiv
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: FC Kharkiv scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.
FC Chernihiv's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 26 matches.
Difficult form: FC Chernihiv registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.
These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
FC Kharkiv VS FC Chernihiv
1.75 Goals Scored 0.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
FC Kharkiv
(Home) 22 Jul
FC Kharkiv
0 : 2 Schalke
21 Jul
FC Kharkiv
1 : 2 Okayama
16 Jul
FC Kharkiv
3 : 3 Hradec Kralove
15 Jul
Jablonec
1 : 0 FC Kharkiv
10 Jul
Wolfsberger AC
3 : 3 FC Kharkiv
Page 1 of 6
22 Jul
FC Kharkiv
0 : 2 Schalke
21 Jul
FC Kharkiv
1 : 2 Okayama
16 Jul
FC Kharkiv
3 : 3 Hradec Kralove
05 Jul
FC Kharkiv
0 : 2 Young Boys
16 May
FC Kharkiv
1 : 1 Epitsentr
Page 1 of 4
FC Chernihiv
(Away) 18 Jul
Livyi Bereg
2 : 1 FC Chernihiv
15 Jul
Obolon
3 : 2 FC Chernihiv
01 Jun
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
1 : 0 FC Chernihiv
29 May
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
0 : 0 FC Chernihiv
26 May
FC Chernihiv
1 : 2 Metalist Kharkiv
Page 1 of 6
18 Jul
Livyi Bereg
2 : 1 FC Chernihiv
15 Jul
Obolon
3 : 2 FC Chernihiv
01 Jun
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
1 : 0 FC Chernihiv
29 May
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
0 : 0 FC Chernihiv
02 May
UCSA
0 : 2 FC Chernihiv
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Denhoff Denykhivka3
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)2
Dinaz Vyshgorod0
Ahrobiznes Volochysk3
Kolos Polonne1
Naftovyk Dolyna0
FC Kharkiv2
Obolon0
Lokomotyv Kyiv3
Kolos Kovalivka2
Korosten0
Veres Rivne4
Nyva Vinnytsya3
UCSA0
Hirnyk-Sport1
Trostyanets0
FC Chernihiv1
Atlet Kiev0
Kulikiv0
Kryvbas3
FC Vilkhivtsi1
Olympia Savyntsi2
Chaika Petropavlivska Borshchahivka0
Lisne4
Epitsentr1
Ahrotekh Tyshkivka2
Ch. Odesa2
Zorya1
Fazenda0
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya1
FC Uzhhorod1
Fenix Mariupol2
Metalist Kharkiv2
Mayak Sarny0
LNZ Cherkasy1
Probiy Horodenka0
Kormil Yavoriv1
Rukh Lviv2
TBD-
Polissya Zhytomyr-
Lozova0
Bukovyna3
Penuel Kryvyi Rih0
Karpaty Lviv8
Real Pharma Odesa0
Nyva Ternopil3
Iron1
SC Poltava5
Oleksandriya-
TBD-
TBD-
Dynamo Kyiv-
Polissya Stavky3
Rebel Kyiv0
TBD-
Shakhtar-
Livyi Bereg1
Kudrivka0
Victoria1
Vorskla Poltava0
Karbon Cherkasy1
Inhulets2
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi1
Skala 19110
1/16-finals
Denhoff Denykhivka0
Ahrobiznes Volochysk2
Kolos Polonne1
FC Kharkiv4
Lokomotyv Kyiv1
Veres Rivne0
Nyva Vinnytsya7
Hirnyk-Sport0
FC Chernihiv3
Kryvbas0
Olympia Savyntsi1
Lisne2
Ahrotekh Tyshkivka2
Ch. Odesa1
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya1
Fenix Mariupol2
Metalist Kharkiv0
LNZ Cherkasy2
Rukh Lviv3
Polissya Zhytomyr0
Bukovyna1
Karpaty Lviv0
Nyva Ternopil3
SC Poltava0
Oleksandriya1
Dynamo Kyiv2
Polissya Stavky0
Shakhtar1
Livyi Bereg0
Victoria1
Inhulets4
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi1
1/8-finals
Ahrobiznes Volochysk3
FC Kharkiv4
Lokomotyv Kyiv1
Nyva Vinnytsya0
FC Chernihiv2
Lisne1
Ahrotekh Tyshkivka1
Fenix Mariupol2
LNZ Cherkasy1
Rukh Lviv0
Bukovyna2
Nyva Ternopil1
Dynamo Kyiv2
Shakhtar1
Victoria0
Inhulets1
Quarter-finals
FC Kharkiv3
Lokomotyv Kyiv0
FC Chernihiv1
Fenix Mariupol0
LNZ Cherkasy0
Bukovyna1
Dynamo Kyiv2
Inhulets0
Semi-finals
FC Kharkiv0
FC Chernihiv1
Bukovyna0
Dynamo Kyiv3
Final
FC Chernihiv1
Dynamo Kyiv3