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Metalist Kharkiv vs Cherkashchyna

Ukraine Ukraine

Druha Liga 2020/2021
Fri, Mar 19, 2021
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Metalist Kharkiv play Cherkashchyna in the Druha Liga 2020/2021. It looks like a close match. Recently, Metalist Kharkiv averaged 1.04 goals scored and 1.18 conceded. Cherkashchyna averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. In past meetings, Metalist Kharkiv won 0, Cherkashchyna won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jun 11, 2021 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.04 for Metalist Kharkiv and 1.06 for Cherkashchyna. This points to a Metalist Kharkiv double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Metalist Kharkiv
22%
Draws
38%
Cherkashchyna
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Metalist Kharkiv

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Metalist Kharkiv picked up more points recently compared to Cherkashchyna.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.04 vs 1.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 76%
Over 2.5 Goals 39%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%
Metalist Kharkiv Clean Sheet 22%
Cherkashchyna Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Metalist Kharkiv Cherkashchyna
Matches Played 28 16
Wins 10 5
Draws 6 5
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 1.04 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 11, 2021 Druha Liga
Cherkashchyna vs Metalist Kharkiv
0:0
Mar 19, 2021 Druha Liga
Metalist Kharkiv vs Cherkashchyna
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Metalist Kharkiv 40 / 100
Cherkashchyna 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Metalist Kharkiv Cherkashchyna

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Metalist Kharkiv or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +25.2%
3.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +18.2%
3.03
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Metalist Kharkiv attacking → ← attacking Cherkashchyna

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Metalist Kharkiv scored in 64% of their last 28 games.

Cherkashchyna let in goals in 69% of their last 16 matches.

Games between these two average 0.00 goals.

Metalist Kharkiv went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Cherkashchyna lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

36 Points in last 5 20
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi24176146:1357
2FC Uzhhorod24174350:2355
3Dinaz Vyshgorod24156352:1951
4Epitsentr24146436:1548
5Karpaty Halych24144642:2546
6Nyva Vinnytsya241031138:3833
7Bukovyna24951027:3132
8Chaika Petropavlivska Borshchahivka24671126:3225
9Obolon 224661221:3924
10FC Chernihiv24561319:3321
11Rubikon Kyiv24451517:4417
12Volyn Lutsk 224341716:4313
13Karpaty (inactive)24341720:5513
14Kalush00000:00
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Metalist Kharkiv22202065:562
2Kryvbas22155253:1550
3MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya22134542:2043
4Tavriya22126441:2242
5Nova Kakhovka22931034:3530
6Fenix Mariupol22841027:3928
7Dnipro Cherkasy2276917:3427
8FK Balkany22651120:2823
9Peremoga Dnipro2258921:2923
10Real Pharma Odesa22531413:4018
11FC Nikopol22351418:4614
12MFK Mykolaiv 222151613:518
13Cherkashchyna00000:00