Sport Picks
Metalist Kharkiv vs FC Chernihiv - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Ukraine
Persha Liga OSC Metalist, Kharkiv 
Match Events
29'
29'
Prykhodko D.
40'
40'
Bezborodko D.
46'
46'
Sub
Bezborodko D. In: Novikov A.
Out: Bezborodko D.
AI Match Summary
Metalist Kharkiv in this Persha Liga matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Metalist Kharkiv.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
20%
44%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FC Chernihiv
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
36%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Metalist Kharkiv lately — more wins on the board than FC Chernihiv.
- Win probability leans Metalist Kharkiv's way, sitting at 60%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Metalist Kharkiv Clean Sheet 68%
FC Chernihiv Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Metalist Kharkiv | FC Chernihiv |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 27 |
| Wins | 12 | 7 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 10 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 1.26 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 1.37 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 27, 2026 Persha Liga
Metalist Kharkiv vs FC Chernihiv
2:0
May 26, 2026 Persha Liga
FC Chernihiv vs Metalist Kharkiv
1:2
Apr 7, 2026 Persha Liga
Metalist Kharkiv vs FC Chernihiv
2:1
May 25, 2024 Persha Liga
Metalist Kharkiv vs FC Chernihiv
1:1
Apr 21, 2024 Persha Liga
FC Chernihiv vs Metalist Kharkiv
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Metalist Kharkiv Compare
Top Goalscorer Prykhodko D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
FC Chernihiv Compare
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Metalist Kharkiv 68 / 100
FC Chernihiv 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Metalist Kharkiv FC Chernihiv
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Metalist Kharkiv Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Metalist Kharkiv scored in 66% of their last 29 games.
FC Chernihiv's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 27 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.
Metalist Kharkiv has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Metalist Kharkiv VS FC Chernihiv
1 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Metalist Kharkiv
(Home) 09 Oct
Metalist Kharkiv
2 : 2 Victoria
03 Oct
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)
0 : 0 Metalist Kharkiv
27 Sept
Metalist Kharkiv
2 : 0 FC Chernihiv
20 Sept
SC Poltava
3 : 0 Metalist Kharkiv
12 Sept
Inhulets
1 : 0 Metalist Kharkiv
Page 1 of 6
09 Oct
Metalist Kharkiv
2 : 2 Victoria
27 Sept
Metalist Kharkiv
2 : 0 FC Chernihiv
05 Sept
Metalist Kharkiv
3 : 1 UCSA
30 Aug
Metalist Kharkiv
1 : 1 Nyva Ternopil
15 Aug
Metalist Kharkiv
0 : 2 Oleksandriya
Page 1 of 3
FC Chernihiv
(Away) 06 Oct
Trostyanets
2 : 4 FC Chernihiv
02 Oct
SC Poltava
3 : 2 FC Chernihiv
27 Sept
Metalist Kharkiv
2 : 0 FC Chernihiv
11 Sept
UCSA
3 : 2 FC Chernihiv
05 Sept
FC Chernihiv
1 : 0 Nyva Ternopil
Page 1 of 6
06 Oct
Trostyanets
2 : 4 FC Chernihiv
02 Oct
SC Poltava
3 : 2 FC Chernihiv
27 Sept
Metalist Kharkiv
2 : 0 FC Chernihiv
11 Sept
UCSA
3 : 2 FC Chernihiv
29 Aug
Oleksandriya
1 : 0 FC Chernihiv
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Victoria | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 14:8 | 21 |
| 2 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18:14 | 20 |
| 3 | Oleksandriya | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 15:7 | 19 |
| 4 | SC Poltava | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18:10 | 18 |
| 5 | Kulikiv | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 20:11 | 17 |
| 6 | Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12:9 | 15 |
| 7 | Metalist Kharkiv | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13:13 | 15 |
| 8 | Fenix Mariupol | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12:11 | 15 |
| 9 | Inhulets | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 10:12 | 14 |
| 10 | Lokomotyv Kyiv | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12:12 | 13 |
| 11 | Kolos Kovalivka 2 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 11:17 | 12 |
| 12 | Nyva Ternopil | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 9:9 | 11 |
| 13 | UCSA | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 14:17 | 10 |
| 14 | Probiy Horodenka | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11:29 | 8 |
| 15 | FC Chernihiv | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10:14 | 7 |
| 16 | Zhytomyr 2 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 14:20 | 7 |
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Persha Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Persha Liga (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Druha Liga 2027/2028 (Main)
