Sport Picks
Metalist Kharkiv vs Probiy Horodenka - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Ukraine
Persha Liga OSC Metalist, Kharkiv 
Match Events
27'
27'
Prykhodko D.
(Penalty)
32'
32'
Vernattus D.
37'
37'
Vernattus D.
AI Match Summary
The Persha Liga game between Metalist Kharkiv and Probiy Horodenka finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Metalist Kharkiv.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
20%
44%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Probiy Horodenka
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
36%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Metalist Kharkiv come out ahead of Probiy Horodenka on wins alone.
- Metalist Kharkiv are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- Regular Persha Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Metalist Kharkiv here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Metalist Kharkiv Clean Sheet 68%
Probiy Horodenka Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Metalist Kharkiv | Probiy Horodenka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 12 | 9 |
| Draws | 7 | 4 |
| Losses | 10 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 1.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 1, 2026 Persha Liga
Metalist Kharkiv vs Probiy Horodenka
3:1
Mar 22, 2026 Persha Liga
Probiy Horodenka vs Metalist Kharkiv
1:2
Aug 30, 2025 Persha Liga
Metalist Kharkiv vs Probiy Horodenka
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Metalist Kharkiv Compare
Top Goalscorer Vernattus D.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
Probiy Horodenka Compare
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Metalist Kharkiv 50 / 100
Probiy Horodenka 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Metalist Kharkiv Probiy Horodenka
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Metalist Kharkiv Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Metalist Kharkiv's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Defensive concern: Probiy Horodenka conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Metalist Kharkiv went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Metalist Kharkiv VS Probiy Horodenka
1 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.63
50% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Metalist Kharkiv
(Home) 09 Oct
Metalist Kharkiv
2 : 2 Victoria
03 Oct
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)
0 : 0 Metalist Kharkiv
27 Sept
Metalist Kharkiv
2 : 0 FC Chernihiv
20 Sept
SC Poltava
3 : 0 Metalist Kharkiv
12 Sept
Inhulets
1 : 0 Metalist Kharkiv
Page 1 of 6
09 Oct
Metalist Kharkiv
2 : 2 Victoria
27 Sept
Metalist Kharkiv
2 : 0 FC Chernihiv
05 Sept
Metalist Kharkiv
3 : 1 UCSA
30 Aug
Metalist Kharkiv
1 : 1 Nyva Ternopil
15 Aug
Metalist Kharkiv
0 : 2 Oleksandriya
Page 1 of 3
Probiy Horodenka
(Away) 10 Oct
Probiy Horodenka
3 : 2 SC Poltava
04 Oct
Kulikiv
1 : 2 Probiy Horodenka
26 Sept
Probiy Horodenka
0 : 2 Lokomotyv Kyiv
19 Sept
Kolos Kovalivka 2
4 : 2 Probiy Horodenka
13 Sept
Probiy Horodenka
0 : 2 Fenix Mariupol
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Kulikiv
1 : 2 Probiy Horodenka
19 Sept
Kolos Kovalivka 2
4 : 2 Probiy Horodenka
05 Sept
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
6 : 0 Probiy Horodenka
21 Aug
Lokomotyv Kyiv
1 : 3 Probiy Horodenka
14 Aug
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)
3 : 0 Probiy Horodenka
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Victoria | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 14:8 | 21 |
| 2 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18:14 | 20 |
| 3 | Oleksandriya | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 15:7 | 19 |
| 4 | SC Poltava | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18:10 | 18 |
| 5 | Kulikiv | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 20:11 | 17 |
| 6 | Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12:9 | 15 |
| 7 | Metalist Kharkiv | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13:13 | 15 |
| 8 | Fenix Mariupol | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12:11 | 15 |
| 9 | Inhulets | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 10:12 | 14 |
| 10 | Lokomotyv Kyiv | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12:12 | 13 |
| 11 | Kolos Kovalivka 2 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 11:17 | 12 |
| 12 | Nyva Ternopil | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 9:9 | 11 |
| 13 | UCSA | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 14:17 | 10 |
| 14 | Probiy Horodenka | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11:29 | 8 |
| 15 | FC Chernihiv | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10:14 | 7 |
| 16 | Zhytomyr 2 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 14:20 | 7 |
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Persha Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Persha Liga (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Druha Liga 2027/2028 (Main)
