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Metallurg Bekabad vs FC Lochin - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Pro Liga Metallurg Stadium, Bekabad
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Abdumuminov A.
48' Event
Jocic B.
55' Event
Abdumuminov A.

AI Match Summary

Metallurg Bekabad in this Pro Liga matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Metallurg Bekabad.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Metallurg Bekabad
15%
Draws
27%
FC Lochin
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Metallurg Bekabad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Lochin haven't matched Metallurg Bekabad's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Metallurg Bekabad's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Metallurg Bekabad Clean Sheet 20%
FC Lochin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Metallurg Bekabad FC Lochin
Matches Played 29 22
Wins 16 10
Draws 7 5
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 1.97 1.45
Goals Conceded 0.79 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 31, 2026 Pro Liga
Metallurg Bekabad vs FC Lochin
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Metallurg Bekabad Compare

Top Goalscorer Abdumuminov A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Jocic B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

FC Lochin Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Metallurg Bekabad 85 / 100
FC Lochin 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Metallurg Bekabad FC Lochin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Metallurg Bekabad Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Metallurg Bekabad's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Metallurg Bekabad stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

FC Lochin has conceded goals in 59% of their last 22 outings.

Scoring Trends

Metallurg Bekabad VS FC Lochin
2 Goals Scored 1.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Metallurg Bekabad

(Home)
08 Oct
Kattaqurgon
0 : 3
Metallurg Bekabad
20 Sept
Metallurg Bekabad
1 : 0
Jayxun
07 Sept
Metallurg Bekabad
1 : 0
Pakhtakor II
02 Sept
Olimpik-Mobiuz
2 : 3
Metallurg Bekabad
27 Aug
BuxDu
0 : 4
Metallurg Bekabad
Page 1 of 6

FC Lochin

(Away)
07 Oct
BuxDu
2 : 6
FC Lochin
21 Sept
FC Lochin
0 : 3
Respublika FA
13 Sept
Aral
2 : 0
FC Lochin
06 Sept
FC Lochin
1 : 1
Gazalkent
29 Aug
Shortan Guzor
0 : 1
FC Lochin
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aral 21 16 4 1 45:13 52
2 Shortan Guzor 21 14 3 4 38:20 45
3 Metallurg Bekabad 21 13 4 4 49:16 43
4 FarDU 21 11 7 3 39:29 40
5 FC Lochin 21 10 5 6 32:25 35
6 Gazalkent 21 10 5 6 39:25 35
7 Kattaqurgon 20 10 3 7 24:20 33
8 Olimpik-Mobiuz 19 9 5 5 36:22 32
9 Respublika FA 20 7 4 9 27:30 25
10 Jayxun 21 7 3 11 23:28 24
11 Yaypan 21 6 4 11 24:39 22
12 BuxDu 21 3 1 17 18:54 10
13 Pakhtakor II 21 3 1 17 15:49 10
14 TerDU 21 1 1 19 12:51 4
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