Sport Picks
Metallurg Bekabad vs Pakhtakor
Uzbekistan
Super League 2024 Metallurg Stadium 
AI Match Summary
Metallurg Bekabad play Pakhtakor in the Super League 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Metallurg Bekabad averaged 1.37 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. Pakhtakor averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, Metallurg Bekabad won 1, Pakhtakor won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 21, 2024 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for Metallurg Bekabad and 1.50 for Pakhtakor. This points to a Pakhtakor double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Metallurg Bekabad picked up more points recently compared to Pakhtakor.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.56 vs 1.50 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Metallurg Bekabad | Pakhtakor |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 18 |
| Draws | 12 | 6 |
| Losses | 9 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.37 | 1.8 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.88 | 1.13 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Metallurg Bekabad Compare
Pakhtakor Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Metallurg Bekabad scored in 70% of their last 30 games.
Pakhtakor let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 4.00 goals.
Metallurg Bekabad went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Pakhtakor lost 0 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nasaf Qarshi | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 35:18 | 52 |
| 2 | OKMK | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 40:29 | 47 |
| 3 | Navbahor Namangan | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 42:31 | 43 |
| 4 | Sogdiana | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 41:29 | 43 |
| 5 | Neftchi Fargona | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 32:24 | 43 |
| 6 | Pakhtakor | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 42:37 | 38 |
| 7 | Termez Surkhon | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 30:31 | 36 |
| 8 | Din. Samarkand | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 35:38 | 32 |
| 9 | Andijan | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 36:36 | 30 |
| 10 | Bunyodkor | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 27:38 | 30 |
| 11 | Qizilqum | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 25:34 | 27 |
| 12 | Olympic | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 22:38 | 25 |
| 13 | Metallurg Bekabad | 26 | 3 | 14 | 9 | 22:30 | 23 |
| 14 | Lok. Tashkent | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 28:44 | 21 |