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Metallurg Bekabad vs Shortan Guzor - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Pro Liga Metallurg Stadium, Bekabad
Tue, Oct 13, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Metallurg Bekabad host Shortan Guzor in the Pro Liga. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Shortan Guzor have shipped 1.29 goals a game lately, while Metallurg Bekabad have conceded 0.79 and scored 1.97. Past meetings favor Metallurg Bekabad slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 4, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.44 vs 1.38, favoring Metallurg Bekabad. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Metallurg Bekabad
15%
Draws
38%
Shortan Guzor
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Metallurg Bekabad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Metallurg Bekabad carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Metallurg Bekabad Clean Sheet 17%
Shortan Guzor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Metallurg Bekabad Shortan Guzor
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 16 15
Draws 7 5
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 1.97 1.79
Goals Conceded 0.79 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 4, 2026 Pro Liga
Shortan Guzor vs Metallurg Bekabad
1:0
Aug 26, 2017 Super League
Shortan Guzor vs Metallurg Bekabad
0:1
Mar 31, 2017 Super League
Metallurg Bekabad vs Shortan Guzor
4:2
Aug 13, 2016 Super League
Shortan Guzor vs Metallurg Bekabad
1:0
Apr 2, 2016 Super League
Metallurg Bekabad vs Shortan Guzor
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Metallurg Bekabad 31 / 100
Shortan Guzor 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Metallurg Bekabad Shortan Guzor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Metallurg Bekabad found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Solid form: Metallurg Bekabad remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Shortan Guzor's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

Metallurg Bekabad VS Shortan Guzor
2 Goals Scored 2.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Metallurg Bekabad

(Home)
08 Oct
Kattaqurgon
0 : 3
Metallurg Bekabad
20 Sept
Metallurg Bekabad
1 : 0
Jayxun
07 Sept
Metallurg Bekabad
1 : 0
Pakhtakor II
02 Sept
Olimpik-Mobiuz
2 : 3
Metallurg Bekabad
27 Aug
BuxDu
0 : 4
Metallurg Bekabad
Page 1 of 6

Shortan Guzor

(Away)
07 Oct
Shortan Guzor
3 : 1
Jayxun
21 Sept
Pakhtakor II
0 : 4
Shortan Guzor
12 Sept
Shortan Guzor
3 : 0
TerDU
06 Sept
Yaypan
1 : 4
Shortan Guzor
29 Aug
Shortan Guzor
0 : 1
FC Lochin
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aral 21 16 4 1 45:13 52
2 Shortan Guzor 21 14 3 4 38:20 45
3 Metallurg Bekabad 21 13 4 4 49:16 43
4 FarDU 21 11 7 3 39:29 40
5 FC Lochin 21 10 5 6 32:25 35
6 Gazalkent 21 10 5 6 39:25 35
7 Kattaqurgon 20 10 3 7 24:20 33
8 Olimpik-Mobiuz 19 9 5 5 36:22 32
9 Respublika FA 20 7 4 9 27:30 25
10 Jayxun 21 7 3 11 23:28 24
11 Yaypan 21 6 4 11 24:39 22
12 BuxDu 21 3 1 17 18:54 10
13 Pakhtakor II 21 3 1 17 15:49 10
14 TerDU 21 1 1 19 12:51 4
Promotion - Super League 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Pro Liga (Promotion)