Sport Picks
Metallurg Bekabad vs Shortan Guzor - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
AI Match Summary
Metallurg Bekabad host Shortan Guzor in the Pro Liga. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Shortan Guzor have shipped 1.29 goals a game lately, while Metallurg Bekabad have conceded 0.79 and scored 1.97. Past meetings favor Metallurg Bekabad slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 4, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.44 vs 1.38, favoring Metallurg Bekabad. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Metallurg Bekabad carry the better recent record into this one.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Metallurg Bekabad | Shortan Guzor |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 16 | 15 |
| Draws | 7 | 5 |
| Losses | 6 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.97 | 1.79 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.79 | 1.29 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Metallurg Bekabad found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).
Solid form: Metallurg Bekabad remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Shortan Guzor's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Metallurg Bekabad
(Home)Shortan Guzor
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aral | 21 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 45:13 | 52 |
| 2 | Shortan Guzor | 21 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 38:20 | 45 |
| 3 | Metallurg Bekabad | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 49:16 | 43 |
| 4 | FarDU | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 39:29 | 40 |
| 5 | FC Lochin | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 32:25 | 35 |
| 6 | Gazalkent | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 39:25 | 35 |
| 7 | Kattaqurgon | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 24:20 | 33 |
| 8 | Olimpik-Mobiuz | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 36:22 | 32 |
| 9 | Respublika FA | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 27:30 | 25 |
| 10 | Jayxun | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 23:28 | 24 |
| 11 | Yaypan | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 24:39 | 22 |
| 12 | BuxDu | 21 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 18:54 | 10 |
| 13 | Pakhtakor II | 21 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 15:49 | 10 |
| 14 | TerDU | 21 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 12:51 | 4 |