Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Metallurg Bekabad vs Yaypan

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Pro Liga Metallurg Stadium, Bekabad
Our Tip

Match Events

52' Event
Abdumuminov A.
62' Event
Muminov M.
64'
Normurodov N.

AI Match Summary

The Pro Liga game between Metallurg Bekabad and Yaypan finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

67%
Metallurg Bekabad
15%
Draws
18%
Yaypan
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Metallurg Bekabad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Metallurg Bekabad come out ahead of Yaypan on wins alone.
  • Model gives Metallurg Bekabad a 67% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Pro Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Metallurg Bekabad Clean Sheet 20%
Yaypan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Metallurg Bekabad Yaypan
Matches Played 30 20
Wins 16 6
Draws 7 4
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.9 1.15
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.85
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 10, 2026 Pro Liga
Metallurg Bekabad vs Yaypan
1:1
Apr 5, 2026 Pro Liga
Yaypan vs Metallurg Bekabad
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Metallurg Bekabad Compare

Top Goalscorer Abdumuminov A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Yaypan Compare

Top Goalscorer Muminov M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Metallurg Bekabad 85 / 100
Yaypan 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Metallurg Bekabad Yaypan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Metallurg Bekabad Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Metallurg Bekabad's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Metallurg Bekabad stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Yaypan conceded in 70% of 20 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Metallurg Bekabad VS Yaypan
2.63 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Metallurg Bekabad

(Home)
20 Sept
Metallurg Bekabad
1 : 0
Jayxun
07 Sept
Metallurg Bekabad
1 : 0
Pakhtakor II
02 Sept
Olimpik-Mobiuz
2 : 3
Metallurg Bekabad
27 Aug
BuxDu
0 : 4
Metallurg Bekabad
20 Aug
TerDU
0 : 3
Metallurg Bekabad
Page 1 of 6

Yaypan

(Away)
21 Sept
Yaypan
2 : 5
Aral
11 Sept
Gazalkent
0 : 0
Yaypan
06 Sept
Yaypan
1 : 4
Shortan Guzor
25 Aug
Jayxun
3 : 1
Yaypan
20 Aug
Yaypan
2 : 0
Pakhtakor II
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aral 20 15 4 1 42:13 49
2 Shortan Guzor 20 13 3 4 35:19 42
3 Metallurg Bekabad 20 12 4 4 46:16 40
4 FarDU 20 11 6 3 37:27 39
5 Kattaqurgon 19 10 3 6 24:17 33
6 FC Lochin 20 9 5 6 26:23 32
7 Gazalkent 20 9 5 6 36:23 32
8 Olimpik-Mobiuz 18 9 4 5 34:20 31
9 Jayxun 20 7 3 10 22:25 24
10 Yaypan 20 6 4 10 23:37 22
11 Respublika FA 19 6 4 9 25:29 22
12 BuxDu 20 3 1 16 16:48 10
13 Pakhtakor II 20 3 1 16 13:46 10
14 TerDU 20 1 1 18 12:48 4
Promotion - Super League 2027 (Main)
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