Sport Picks
Metalul Buzau vs Poli Iasi Prediction & H2H Stats
Romania
Liga 2 2025/2026 Stadionul Cornel Negoescu - artificial grass, Buzau 
Match Events
25'
25'
Istratie B.
32'
32'
Sub
Umar M. In: Pojar T.
Out: Umar M.
36'
36'
Oprea D. D.
AI Match Summary
Metalul Buzau in this Liga 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Metalul Buzau.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
20%
29%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Metalul Buzau
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Metalul Buzau lately — more wins on the board than Poli Iasi.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Poli Iasi here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Metalul Buzau Clean Sheet 68%
Poli Iasi Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Metalul Buzau | Poli Iasi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 17 | 13 |
| Draws | 3 | 5 |
| Losses | 9 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.72 | 1.37 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 1.23 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 18, 2026 Liga 2
Metalul Buzau vs Poli Iasi
2:0
Sep 20, 2025 Liga 2
Poli Iasi vs Metalul Buzau
2:1
Oct 31, 2019 Romanian Cup
Metalul Buzau vs Poli Iasi
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Metalul Buzau Compare
Top Goalscorer Saim Tudor A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Robu V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Poli Iasi Compare
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Metalul Buzau 41 / 100
Poli Iasi 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Metalul Buzau Poli Iasi
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Metalul Buzau Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Metalul Buzau found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).
Poli Iasi let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 2.67 goals.
Metalul Buzau went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Metalul Buzau VS Poli Iasi
2.25 Goals Scored 1
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Metalul Buzau
(Home) 19 Sept
Concordia
0 : 1 Metalul Buzau
13 Sept
Metalul Buzau
2 : 0 Unirea Slobozia
05 Sept
Selimbar
1 : 1 Metalul Buzau
29 Aug
Metalul Buzau
1 : 3 Chindia Targoviste
22 Aug
CSM Slatina
2 : 0 Metalul Buzau
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Metalul Buzau
2 : 0 Unirea Slobozia
29 Aug
Metalul Buzau
1 : 3 Chindia Targoviste
08 Aug
Metalul Buzau
3 : 1 Afumati
20 Jul
Metalul Buzau
1 : 0 Gjilani
10 Jul
Metalul Buzau
0 : 0 Calarasi
Page 1 of 3
Poli Iasi
(Away) 09 May
CSM Slatina
1 : 0 Poli Iasi
02 May
Poli Iasi
2 : 2 Gloria Bistrita
25 Apr
Poli Iasi
1 : 0 Campulung
18 Apr
Metalul Buzau
2 : 0 Poli Iasi
10 Apr
Poli Iasi
0 : 1 FC ASA Tg. Mures
Page 1 of 6
09 May
CSM Slatina
1 : 0 Poli Iasi
18 Apr
Metalul Buzau
2 : 0 Poli Iasi
04 Apr
CS Din. Bucuresti
0 : 1 Poli Iasi
14 Mar
Steaua Bucuresti
3 : 1 Poli Iasi
28 Feb
CSC Dumbravita
1 : 0 Poli Iasi
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC ASA Tg. Mures | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 16:7 | 51 |
| 2 | Metalul Buzau | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 16:6 | 50 |
| 3 | CSM Slatina | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 13:4 | 43 |
| 4 | Poli Iasi | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7:6 | 41 |
| 5 | Gloria Bistrita | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:8 | 34 |
| 6 | CS Din. Bucuresti | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9:10 | 25 |
| 7 | Ceahlaul | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4:19 | 20 |
| 8 | Campulung | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4:19 | 11 |
Relegation - Liga 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bacau | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 7:11 | 42 |
| 2 | Concordia | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10:5 | 41 |
| 3 | CSM Resita | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6:10 | 40 |
| 4 | Afumati | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8:9 | 37 |
| 5 | CSC Dumbravita | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6:7 | 32 |
| 6 | Selimbar | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:9 | 30 |
| 7 | CSM Satu Mare | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 16:9 | 28 |
| 8 | Tunari | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:10 | 27 |
Relegation - Liga 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)
