Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Metalurgistul Cugir vs Sebis

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 4 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga 3 - Seria 4 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Metalurgistul Cugir
20%
Draws
30%
Sebis
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Metalurgistul Cugir

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sebis lately — more wins on the board than Metalurgistul Cugir.
  • Metalurgistul Cugir are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Metalurgistul Cugir Clean Sheet 17%
Sebis Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Metalurgistul Cugir Sebis
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 9
Draws 9 8
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.8 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.67 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2019 Liga 3 - Seria 4
Metalurgistul Cugir vs Sebis
2:2
Oct 26, 2018 Liga 3 - Seria 4
Sebis vs Metalurgistul Cugir
2:1
May 6, 2016 Liga 3 - Seria 4
Sebis vs Metalurgistul Cugir
0:2
Nov 7, 2015 Liga 3 - Seria 4
Metalurgistul Cugir vs Sebis
2:0
May 23, 2014 Liga 3 - Seria 5
Sebis vs Metalurgistul Cugir
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Metalurgistul Cugir 84 / 100
Sebis 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Metalurgistul Cugir Sebis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Metalurgistul Cugir Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sebis's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Metalurgistul Cugir's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Metalurgistul Cugir remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Metalurgistul Cugir VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Metalurgistul Cugir

(Home)
26 Sept
Metalurgistul Cugir
1 : 3
Viitorul Arad
23 Sept
AFC Nera Bogodinti
0 : 3
Metalurgistul Cugir
18 Sept
Metalurgistul Cugir
2 : 2
Unirea Alba-Iulia
11 Sept
Metalurgistul Cugir
0 : 1
Timisul Sag
04 Sept
Ghiroda & Giarmata Vii
3 : 3
Metalurgistul Cugir
Page 1 of 6

Sebis

(Away)
07 Mar
Flacara Horezu
3 : 0
Sebis
29 Nov
FC U Craiova
5 : 0
Sebis
22 Nov
Sebis
4 : 2
CSO Filiasi
16 Nov
Gilortul Tg. Carbunesti
2 : 0
Sebis
08 Nov
Sebis
1 : 5
Soimii Lipova
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CSM Resita 30 19 5 6 60:27 62
2 Soimii Lipova 30 18 6 6 70:42 60
3 CSC Dumbravita 30 18 4 8 60:43 58
4 Gloria Lunca Teuz Cermei 30 17 2 11 56:48 53
5 Metalurgistul Cugir 30 15 8 7 59:46 53
6 Sebis 30 13 11 6 57:44 50
7 Chisineu Cris 30 13 10 7 55:31 49
8 Avrig 30 13 4 13 38:43 43
9 Corvinul Hunedoara 30 12 6 12 53:51 42
10 Industria Galda 30 13 2 15 50:43 41
11 Ghiroda & Giarmata Vii 30 12 3 15 57:52 39
12 Unirea Alba-Iulia 30 9 11 10 37:42 38
13 CSM Deva 30 10 5 15 36:49 35
14 Giarmata 30 8 5 17 45:64 29
15 CS Municipal Lugoj 30 2 6 22 29:77 12
16 Ocna Mures 30 2 4 24 28:88 10
Promotion - Liga 2 2019/2020 (Main)