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Metapan vs Alianza FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

El Salvador El Salvador

Primera Division Estadio Jorge Calero Suárez, Metapán
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Cruz R.
89' Event
Reyes K.

AI Match Summary

Metapan in this Primera Division matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Metapan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Metapan
35%
Draws
21%
Alianza FC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Metapan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Alianza FC have won more games recently than Metapan.
  • Metapan are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Primera Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 59%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Metapan Clean Sheet 68%
Alianza FC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Metapan Alianza FC
Matches Played 33 38
Wins 15 16
Draws 9 13
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.33 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.12 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.84
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Primera Division
Metapan vs Alianza FC
2:0
Apr 21, 2026 Copa Presidente
Metapan vs Alianza FC
1:1
Apr 8, 2026 Copa Presidente
Alianza FC vs Metapan
3:1
Apr 2, 2026 Primera Division
Metapan vs Alianza FC
0:0
Feb 5, 2026 Primera Division
Alianza FC vs Metapan
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Metapan Compare

Top Goalscorer Cruz R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Reyes K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Alianza FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.76
Avg xA / game 0.47

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Metapan 68 / 100
Alianza FC 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Metapan Alianza FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Metapan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Metapan remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Metapan scored in 79% of their last 33 games.

Alianza FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 38 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

Metapan VS Alianza FC
1 Goals Scored 1.25
0.43 Goals Conceded 1.38
43% Over 1.5 75%
29% Over 2.5 63%
14% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Metapan

(Home)
03 Oct
Metapan
3 : 2
Atletico Balboa
27 Sept
Metapan
2 : 0
Cacahuatique
19 Sept
Inter Santa Tecla
0 : 0
Metapan
13 Sept
Luis Angel Firpo
1 : 2
Metapan
09 Sept
Platense Municipal
1 : 2
Metapan
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Alianza FC

(Away)
09 Oct
FAS
2 : 1
Alianza FC
04 Oct
Alianza FC
2 : 2
Luis Angel Firpo
01 Oct
Alianza FC
2 : 1
Platense Municipal
27 Sept
Alianza FC
1 : 1
Inca Aruba
24 Sept
Alianza FC
2 : 2
Fuerte San Francisco
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FAS 13 8 3 2 24:12 27
2 Metapan 13 8 2 3 20:12 26
3 Luis Angel Firpo 13 7 4 2 23:9 25
4 Inter Santa Tecla 14 5 7 2 19:12 22
5 Aguila 14 5 5 4 22:18 20
6 Platense Municipal 15 5 4 6 19:20 19
7 Alianza FC 13 4 6 3 20:19 18
8 Municipal Limeno 14 5 2 7 19:19 17
9 Inca Aruba 15 4 4 7 13:27 16
10 Atletico Balboa 14 3 4 7 15:22 13
11 Fuerte San Francisco 15 2 6 7 11:24 12
12 Cacahuatique 15 2 5 8 15:26 11
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)