Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Metapan vs Fuerte San Francisco - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

El Salvador El Salvador

Primera Division Estadio Jorge Calero Suárez, Metapán
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
11:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Metapan host Fuerte San Francisco in the Primera Division. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Metapan at 1.18 goals for, 1.21 against; Fuerte San Francisco at 0.7 for, 1.41 against. Past meetings favor Fuerte San Francisco slightly — 1-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 15, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.50 - 0.63) back Metapan to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Metapan
35%
Draws
21%
Fuerte San Francisco
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Metapan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Metapan have won more games recently than Fuerte San Francisco.
  • Metapan are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Fuerte San Francisco here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Metapan Clean Sheet 20%
Fuerte San Francisco Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Metapan Fuerte San Francisco
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 10 4
Draws 8 10
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.18 0.7
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Primera Division
Fuerte San Francisco vs Metapan
1:0
Apr 26, 2026 Primera Division
Metapan vs Fuerte San Francisco
1:3
Mar 1, 2026 Primera Division
Fuerte San Francisco vs Metapan
1:2
Nov 9, 2025 Primera Division
Metapan vs Fuerte San Francisco
1:2
Sep 7, 2025 Primera Division
Fuerte San Francisco vs Metapan
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Metapan 67 / 100
Fuerte San Francisco 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Metapan Fuerte San Francisco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Metapan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fuerte San Francisco's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 27 matches.

Metapan went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Metapan's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

Metapan VS Fuerte San Francisco
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Metapan

(Home)
03 Oct
Metapan
3 : 2
Atletico Balboa
27 Sept
Metapan
2 : 0
Cacahuatique
19 Sept
Inter Santa Tecla
0 : 0
Metapan
13 Sept
Luis Angel Firpo
1 : 2
Metapan
09 Sept
Platense Municipal
1 : 2
Metapan
Page 1 of 6

Fuerte San Francisco

(Away)
10 Oct
Fuerte San Francisco
2 : 1
Cacahuatique
04 Oct
Inter Santa Tecla
1 : 1
Fuerte San Francisco
01 Oct
Fuerte San Francisco
0 : 3
Luis Angel Firpo
27 Sept
Platense Municipal
0 : 0
Fuerte San Francisco
24 Sept
Alianza FC
2 : 2
Fuerte San Francisco
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Luis Angel Firpo 14 8 4 2 26:11 28
2 FAS 13 8 3 2 24:12 27
3 Metapan 13 8 2 3 20:12 26
4 Inter Santa Tecla 14 5 7 2 19:12 22
5 Aguila 14 5 5 4 22:18 20
6 Platense Municipal 15 5 4 6 19:20 19
7 Alianza FC 13 4 6 3 20:19 18
8 Municipal Limeno 15 5 2 8 21:22 17
9 Inca Aruba 15 4 4 7 13:27 16
10 Atletico Balboa 14 3 4 7 15:22 13
11 Fuerte San Francisco 15 2 6 7 11:24 12
12 Cacahuatique 15 2 5 8 15:26 11
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)