Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Metapan vs Hercules

El Salvador El Salvador

Primera Division 2025/2026 Estadio Jorge Calero Suárez, Metapán
Our Tip

Match Events

54' Event
Urrutia J.
(Penalty)
75' Event
Lopez Esquivel W.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Primera Division 2025/2026 game between Metapan and Hercules finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Metapan
30%
Draws
43%
Hercules
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Hercules

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Metapan carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Metapan Clean Sheet 12%
Hercules Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Metapan Hercules
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 6
Draws 9 9
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.1 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.96 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 Primera Division
Hercules vs Metapan
3:0
Mar 8, 2026 Primera Division
Metapan vs Hercules
1:1
Nov 16, 2025 Primera Division
Hercules vs Metapan
0:2
Sep 14, 2025 Primera Division
Metapan vs Hercules
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Metapan 30 / 100
Hercules 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Metapan Hercules

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hercules Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hercules's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

Metapan found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Metapan has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Metapan VS Hercules
1.25 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.67
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 67%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Metapan

(Home)
19 Sept
Inter Santa Tecla
0 : 0
Metapan
13 Sept
Luis Angel Firpo
1 : 2
Metapan
09 Sept
Platense Municipal
1 : 2
Metapan
06 Sept
Metapan
0 : 1
Inca Aruba
28 Aug
Municipal Limeno
3 : 1
Metapan
Page 1 of 6

Hercules

(Away)
01 May
Hercules
3 : 0
Metapan
26 Apr
Platense Municipal
1 : 1
Hercules
23 Apr
Cacahuatique
1 : 2
Hercules
19 Apr
Hercules
2 : 2
Luis Angel Firpo
15 Apr
Cacahuatique
1 : 2
Hercules
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FAS 22 16 5 1 49:16 53
2 Luis Angel Firpo 22 13 5 4 34:20 44
3 Alianza FC 22 11 4 7 36:30 37
4 Inter Santa Tecla 22 10 6 6 27:25 36
5 Municipal Limeno 22 10 5 7 33:21 35
6 Aguila 22 10 5 7 27:24 35
7 Metapan 22 6 9 7 23:30 27
8 Cacahuatique 22 6 8 8 24:28 26
9 Platense Municipal 22 4 8 10 24:31 20
10 Hercules 22 4 7 11 27:43 19
11 Fuerte San Francisco 22 2 8 12 18:35 14
12 Zacatecoluca FC 22 3 4 15 23:42 13
Promotion - Primera Division 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)