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Metropolitanos vs Carabobo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Venezuela Venezuela

Liga FUTVE Estadio Olimpico de la UCV, Caracas
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Miku
25'
Aponte L.
29'
Orozco Y.

AI Match Summary

The Liga FUTVE game between Metropolitanos and Carabobo finished 1-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Carabobo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Metropolitanos
15%
Draws
34%
Carabobo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Metropolitanos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Metropolitanos carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Metropolitanos a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga FUTVE form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Metropolitanos Clean Sheet 68%
Carabobo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Metropolitanos Carabobo
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 18 14
Draws 5 8
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 1.48 1.47
Goals Conceded 0.83 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Carabobo vs Metropolitanos
1:0
May 31, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Metropolitanos vs Carabobo
1:5
May 3, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Carabobo vs Metropolitanos
0:0
Feb 20, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Metropolitanos vs Carabobo
1:1
Nov 5, 2025 Liga FUTVE
Metropolitanos vs Carabobo
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Metropolitanos Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Carabobo Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez L.
4 Goals
Assists Leader Tortolero E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Metropolitanos 95 / 100
Carabobo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Metropolitanos Carabobo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Metropolitanos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Metropolitanos has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Metropolitanos scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Carabobo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Metropolitanos VS Carabobo
2 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Metropolitanos

(Home)
20 Sept
Zamora
1 : 3
Metropolitanos
16 Sept
Metropolitanos
3 : 0
Caracas
12 Sept
Academia Anzoategui
0 : 2
Metropolitanos
06 Sept
Monagas
0 : 1
Metropolitanos
03 Sept
Metropolitanos
4 : 1
Trujillanos
Page 1 of 6

Carabobo

(Away)
19 Sept
Universidad Central
1 : 1
Carabobo
15 Sept
Carabobo
1 : 0
Deportivo La Guaira
12 Sept
Academia Puerto Cabello
0 : 2
Carabobo
07 Sept
Carabobo
1 : 0
Estudiantes Merida
03 Sept
Rayo Zuliano
4 : 3
Carabobo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Academia Puerto Cabello 6 3 1 2 8:7 10
2 Portuguesa 6 2 2 2 7:8 8
3 Deportivo La Guaira 6 1 4 1 5:5 7
4 Universidad Central 6 1 3 2 8:8 6
Promotion - Liga FUTVE (Apertura - Final)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Carabobo 6 3 2 1 10:5 11
2 Dep. Tachira 6 3 2 1 8:5 11
3 Metropolitanos 6 2 2 2 5:7 8
4 Estudiantes Merida 6 1 0 5 2:8 3
Promotion - Liga FUTVE (Apertura - Final)