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Metropolitanos vs Carabobo

Venezuela Venezuela

Liga FUTVE Estadio Olimpico de la UCV, Caracas
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Miku
25'
Aponte L.
29'
Orozco Y.

AI Match Summary

The Liga FUTVE game between Metropolitanos and Carabobo finished 1-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Carabobo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Metropolitanos
15%
Draws
42%
Carabobo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Metropolitanos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Carabobo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Liga FUTVE form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Metropolitanos Clean Sheet 15%
Carabobo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Metropolitanos Carabobo
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 12 15
Draws 7 8
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.07 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.14 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Carabobo vs Metropolitanos
1:0
May 31, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Metropolitanos vs Carabobo
1:5
May 3, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Carabobo vs Metropolitanos
0:0
Feb 20, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Metropolitanos vs Carabobo
1:1
Nov 5, 2025 Liga FUTVE
Metropolitanos vs Carabobo
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Metropolitanos Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Carabobo Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez L.
4 Goals
Assists Leader Tortolero E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Metropolitanos 31 / 100
Carabobo 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Metropolitanos Carabobo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Carabobo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Metropolitanos scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Metropolitanos stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Carabobo has conceded goals in 59% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

Metropolitanos VS Carabobo
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Metropolitanos

(Home)
16 Aug
Carabobo
1 : 0
Metropolitanos
09 Aug
Metropolitanos
2 : 1
Universidad Central
05 Aug
Deportivo La Guaira
1 : 2
Metropolitanos
02 Aug
Metropolitanos
2 : 1
Academia Puerto Cabello
31 May
Metropolitanos
1 : 5
Carabobo
Page 1 of 6

Carabobo

(Away)
16 Aug
Carabobo
1 : 0
Metropolitanos
08 Aug
Monagas
1 : 0
Carabobo
04 Aug
Carabobo
2 : 0
Trujillanos
31 Jul
Portuguesa
1 : 0
Carabobo
07 Jun
Carabobo
2 : 1
Academia Puerto Cabello
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Academia Puerto Cabello 6 3 1 2 8:7 10
2 Portuguesa 6 2 2 2 7:8 8
3 Deportivo La Guaira 6 1 4 1 5:5 7
4 Universidad Central 6 1 3 2 8:8 6
Promotion - Liga FUTVE (Apertura - Final)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Carabobo 6 3 2 1 10:5 11
2 Dep. Tachira 6 3 2 1 8:5 11
3 Metropolitanos 6 2 2 2 5:7 8
4 Estudiantes Merida 6 1 0 5 2:8 3
Promotion - Liga FUTVE (Apertura - Final)