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Stadium Background

Metz II vs Valenciennes II

France France

CFA - Group A 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Metz II play Valenciennes II in the CFA - Group A 2012/2013. It looks like a close match. Recently, Metz II averaged 1.22 goals scored and 1.65 conceded. Valenciennes II averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. In past meetings, Metz II won 1, Valenciennes II won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 27, 2013 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for Metz II and 1.56 for Valenciennes II. This points to a Metz II double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Metz II
29%
Draws
27%
Valenciennes II
Draw rate projection: 29% Favored: Metz II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence
  • Metz II picked up more points recently compared to Valenciennes II.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 1.56 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 67%
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%
Metz II Clean Sheet 15%
Valenciennes II Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 60%
Second Half Goal 64%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Metz II Valenciennes II
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 12 3
Draws 5 13
Losses 20 14
Goals Scored 1.22 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.65 1.6

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 27, 2013 National 2 - Group A
Metz II vs Valenciennes II
1:0
Sep 8, 2012 National 2 - Group A
Valenciennes II vs Metz II
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Metz II 43 / 100
Valenciennes II 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Metz II Valenciennes II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Metz II or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +22.3%
2.78
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +13.2%
2.22
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Metz II attacking → ← attacking Valenciennes II

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Metz II scored in 68% of their last 37 games.

Valenciennes II let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Metz II went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Valenciennes II lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

41 Points in last 5 22
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
2.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Dunkerque34209547:22103
2Chambly341811539:1499
3Beauvais341511842:3890
4Roye341214839:3584
5Lille II341381339:4381
6Aubervilliers341451535:4481
7Calvi3412101260:4580
8Ivry341016833:3180
9Amiens AC341351638:4478
10Villemomble3410141037:3978
11Amneville341381350:4278
12Lens II341271542:4677
13JA Drancy34916930:2877
14Mantes3411111238:4076
15Poissy349131240:4574
16Metz II347111633:4766
17Compiegne347121530:4266
18Valenciennes II344131729:5659