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Metz W vs Gonfreville W Prediction & H2H Stats

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Division 2 Women 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 Women 2011/2012 game between Metz W and Gonfreville W finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Metz W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Metz W
20%
Draws
29%
Gonfreville W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Metz W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Metz W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Metz W's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Division 2 Women 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Metz W Clean Sheet 17%
Gonfreville W Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Metz W Gonfreville W
Matches Played 38 22
Wins 15 4
Draws 6 3
Losses 17 15
Goals Scored 2.03 0.59
Goals Conceded 1.66 2.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 27, 2012 Seconde Ligue Women
Metz W vs Gonfreville W
4:1
Sep 4, 2011 Seconde Ligue Women
Gonfreville W vs Metz W
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Metz W 75 / 100
Gonfreville W 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Metz W Gonfreville W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Metz W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Metz W scored in 82% of their last 38 games.

Gonfreville W has conceded goals in 82% of their last 22 outings.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Metz W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Metz W VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Metz W

(Home)
04 Oct
Metz W
1 : 2
Le Mans W
26 Sept
Metz W
1 : 2
Le Havre W
19 Sept
Thonon Evian W
1 : 2
Metz W
13 Sept
Metz W
1 : 1
Roubaix W
05 Sept
Grenoble W
0 : 1
Metz W
Page 1 of 8

Gonfreville W

(Away)
27 May
Metz W
4 : 1
Gonfreville W
20 May
Gonfreville W
0 : 3
Mars Bischheim W
22 Apr
Gonfreville W
3 : 2
Amiens W
15 Apr
Rouen W
1 : 1
Gonfreville W
01 Apr
Bagneux W
2 : 0
Gonfreville W
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arras W 22 17 2 3 59:18 75
2 Le Mans W 22 17 1 4 62:24 74
3 Gravelines W 22 13 6 3 52:18 67
4 Compiegne Club Oise W 22 13 2 7 47:31 63
5 Dijon W 22 8 3 11 34:33 49
6 Amiens W 22 8 2 12 36:43 48
7 Mars Bischheim W 22 8 2 12 36:48 48
8 Rouen W 22 7 4 11 26:41 47
9 Cormelles W 22 6 6 10 56:60 46
10 Metz W 22 6 5 11 18:40 45
11 Bagneux W 22 4 6 12 21:50 40
12 Gonfreville W 22 4 3 15 13:54 37
Promotion - Division 1 Women 2012/2013 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Issy W 22 16 1 5 64:29 71
2 La Roche W 22 14 5 3 67:29 69
3 Orvault W 22 14 2 6 52:26 66
4 Montigny-le-Bretonneux W 22 14 1 7 69:27 65
5 Bordeaux W 22 11 4 7 42:25 59
6 Angers W 22 11 3 8 45:42 58
7 Conde-sur-Noireau W 22 10 4 8 45:36 56
8 F.A.S Herblay W 22 9 2 11 45:35 48
9 ES des Trois Cites Poitiers W 22 5 7 10 23:42 44
10 USC Corne W 22 5 5 12 19:46 42
11 Tours W 22 3 6 13 24:61 37
12 Rennes W 22 0 0 22 15:112 19
Promotion - Division 1 Women 2012/2013 (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toulouse W 22 19 2 1 89:20 81
2 Albi-Marssac W 22 15 4 3 56:23 71
3 Monteux W 22 12 6 4 56:20 64
4 Grenoble W 22 11 8 3 54:30 63
5 Nimes W 22 11 5 6 41:33 60
6 Le Puy W 22 10 4 8 46:29 56
7 Veore Montoison W 22 10 3 9 42:47 55
8 Aurillac W 22 9 4 9 49:56 53
9 US Blanzy Foot W 22 5 3 14 34:62 40
10 Macon W 22 4 3 15 33:56 37
11 Chatenoy W 22 2 2 18 25:80 30
12 ES Saint-Simon Toulouse W 22 1 2 19 19:88 24
Promotion - Division 1 Women 2012/2013 (Main)