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Metz W vs Lille W Prediction & H2H Stats

France France

Seconde Ligue Women 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Petitjean C.
44' Event
Hlushchenko I.
45' Event
Hlushchenko I.

AI Match Summary

Lille W in this Seconde Ligue Women 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lille W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Metz W
30%
Draws
29%
Lille W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Metz W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Metz W at 1.43 per game, Lille W at 1.3.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Metz W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Lille W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Metz W Clean Sheet 10%
Lille W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Metz W Lille W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 9
Draws 5 7
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 1.43 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Seconde Ligue Women
Metz W vs Lille W
1:5
Oct 5, 2025 Seconde Ligue Women
Lille W vs Metz W
0:0
Apr 13, 2025 Seconde Ligue Women
Metz W vs Lille W
2:4
Nov 10, 2024 Seconde Ligue Women
Lille W vs Metz W
1:0
Aug 19, 2023 Club Friendly Women
Lille W vs Metz W
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Metz W Compare

Top Goalscorer Petitjean C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Lille W Compare

Top Goalscorer Hlushchenko I.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Haugou P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Metz W 34 / 100
Lille W 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Metz W Lille W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Metz W scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Lille W let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Metz W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Metz W VS Lille W
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Metz W

(Home)
26 Sept
Metz W
1 : 2
Le Havre W
19 Sept
Thonon Evian W
1 : 2
Metz W
13 Sept
Metz W
1 : 1
Roubaix W
05 Sept
Grenoble W
0 : 1
Metz W
29 Aug
Lens W
3 : 0
Metz W
Page 1 of 6

Lille W

(Away)
26 Sept
Strasbourg W
4 : 3
Lille W
20 Sept
Nice W
0 : 0
Lille W
13 Sept
Lille W
2 : 2
Bourges 18 W
06 Sept
Lille W
3 : 2
Auxerre W
29 Aug
Nice W
3 : 2
Lille W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toulouse W 22 15 4 3 48:21 49
2 Saint-Malo W 22 12 4 6 34:28 40
3 Le Mans W 22 12 3 7 28:20 39
4 Auxerre W 22 10 5 7 31:25 35
5 Grenoble W 22 9 7 6 31:24 34
6 Lille W 22 9 5 8 31:25 32
7 Thonon Evian W 22 9 4 9 35:29 31
8 Nice W 22 8 5 9 28:31 29
9 Reims W 22 7 6 9 26:33 27
10 Metz W 22 6 4 12 31:42 22
11 Rodez AF W 22 6 4 12 16:32 22
12 Guingamp W 22 2 3 17 17:46 9
Promotion - Premiere Ligue Women (Main)