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Mexico U17 vs Nigeria U17

World World

World Cup U17 2015
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Magana K.
Assist: Aguirre E.
35' Event
Nwakali K.
43' Event
Okwonkwo O.
Assist: Enogela D.

AI Match Summary

Nigeria U17 in this World Cup U17 2015 tie, finishing 2-4. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Mexico U17
15%
Draws
21%
Nigeria U17
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mexico U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Nigeria U17 have won more games recently than Mexico U17.
  • Win probability leans Mexico U17's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Nigeria U17 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Nigeria U17, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Nigeria U17 here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 52.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Mexico U17 Clean Sheet 14%
Nigeria U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mexico U17 Nigeria U17
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 14 17
Draws 2 3
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 2.28 2.16
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 2.08 1.58
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 5, 2015 World Cup U17
Mexico U17 vs Nigeria U17
2:4
Nov 8, 2013 World Cup U17
Nigeria U17 vs Mexico U17
3:0
Oct 19, 2013 World Cup U17
Mexico U17 vs Nigeria U17
1:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mexico U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Magana K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cortes D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.6
Avg xA / game 1.04

Nigeria U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Nwakali K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Okwonkwo O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.44
Avg xA / game 0.88

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mexico U17 84 / 100
Nigeria U17 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mexico U17 Nigeria U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mexico U17 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.33 goals as a typical output.

Mexico U17 found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Nigeria U17 conceded in 72% of 32 recent games.

Mexico U17 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mexico U17 VS Nigeria U17
1.5 Goals Scored 1.67
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.67
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 67%
38% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

Mexico U17

(Home)
12 Feb
Mexico U17
2 : 1
Trinidad & Tobago U17
09 Feb
Barbados U17
1 : 4
Mexico U17
07 Feb
Mexico U17
4 : 0
Saint Martin U17
05 Feb
Sint Maarten U17
0 : 10
Mexico U17
18 Nov
Mexico U17
0 : 5
Portugal U17
Page 1 of 6

Nigeria U17

(Away)
11 Jul
China U17
1 : 1
Nigeria U17
08 Jul
Australia U17
4 : 2
Nigeria U17
05 Jul
Nigeria U17
2 : 3
Tanzania U17
11 May
Nigeria U17
1 : 2
Burkina Faso U17
06 May
South Africa U17
2 : 3
Nigeria U17
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Croatia U17 2
Germany U17 0
Mali U17 3
North Korea U17 0
South Korea U17 0
Belgium U17 2
France U17 0
Costa Rica U17 1
Russia U17 1
Ecuador U17 4
Mexico U17 4
Chile U17 1
Brazil U17 1
New Zealand U17 0
Nigeria U17 6
Australia U17 0
Quarter-finals
Croatia U17 0
Mali U17 1
Belgium U17 1
Costa Rica U17 0
Ecuador U17 0
Mexico U17 2
Brazil U17 0
Nigeria U17 3
Semi-finals
Mali U17 3
Belgium U17 1
Mexico U17 2
Nigeria U17 4
Final
Mali U17 0
Nigeria U17 2
Belgium U17 3
Mexico U17 2