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Mexico U17 W vs Dominican Republic U17 W Prediction & H2H Stats

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Championship Women U17 2022
Mexico U17 W Logo

Mexico U17 W

10 - 0
FT
Dominican Republic U17 W Logo

Dominican Republic U17 W

Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Flores T.
19' Event
Soto A.
22' Event
Soto A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Mexico U17 W in this CONCACAF Championship Women U17 2022 tie, finishing 10-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Mexico U17 W
30%
Draws
33%
Dominican Republic U17 W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mexico U17 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mexico U17 W lately — more wins on the board than Dominican Republic U17 W.
  • Win probability leans Mexico U17 W's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Mexico U17 W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Mexico U17 W, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 28.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Mexico U17 W Clean Sheet 10%
Dominican Republic U17 W Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mexico U17 W Dominican Republic U17 W
Matches Played 36 19
Wins 18 9
Draws 7 3
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 2.28 2.37
Goals Conceded 0.97 2.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.03 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2022 CONCACAF Championship Women U17
Mexico U17 W vs Dominican Republic U17 W
10:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mexico U17 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Flores T.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Soto A.
3 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.79
Avg xA / game 0.52

Dominican Republic U17 W Compare

Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mexico U17 W 65 / 100
Dominican Republic U17 W 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mexico U17 W Dominican Republic U17 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mexico U17 W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mexico U17 W scored in 81% of their last 36 games.

Historical meetings average 10.00 goals per match.

Mexico U17 W has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Dominican Republic U17 W has conceded goals in 63% of their last 19 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mexico U17 W VS Dominican Republic U17 W
0.63 Goals Scored 4
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.43
13% Over 1.5 100%
13% Over 2.5 86%
0% Over 3.5 57%

Recent Form & Match History

Mexico U17 W

(Home)
16 Aug
Canada U17 W
1 : 1
Mexico U17 W
13 Aug
USA U17 W
1 : 1
Mexico U17 W
22 Mar
Mexico U17 W
2 : 0
Costa Rica U17 W
19 Mar
Panama U17 W
1 : 6
Mexico U17 W
17 Mar
Mexico U17 W
9 : 0
Jamaica U17 W
Page 1 of 8

Dominican Republic U17 W

(Away)
22 Mar
Dominican Republic U17 W
2 : 1
Nicaragua U17 W
19 Mar
Dominican Republic U17 W
0 : 7
Canada U17 W
17 Mar
El Salvador U17 W
1 : 1
Dominican Republic U17 W
02 Feb
Dominican Republic U17 W
2 : 1
Nicaragua U17 W
31 Jan
Belize U17 W
0 : 5
Dominican Republic U17 W
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Mexico U17 W 15
Guyana U17 W 0
Haiti U17 W 0
Dominican Republic U17 W 2
Panama U17 W 0
Puerto Rico U17 W 2
El Salvador U17 W 10
Saint Kitts and Nevis U17 W 0
USA U17 W 11
Curacao U17 W 0
Jamaica U17 W 4
Cuba U17 W 0
Costa Rica U17 W 1
Nicaragua U17 W 0
Canada U17 W 4
Honduras U17 W 1
Quarter-finals
Mexico U17 W 10
Dominican Republic U17 W 0
Puerto Rico U17 W 2
El Salvador U17 W 0
USA U17 W 4
Jamaica U17 W 0
Costa Rica U17 W 0
Canada U17 W 3
Semi-finals
Mexico U17 W 5
Puerto Rico U17 W 0
USA U17 W 3
Canada U17 W 0
Final
Mexico U17 W 1
USA U17 W 2
Puerto Rico U17 W 0
Canada U17 W 3