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Mexico U17 W vs Dominican Republic U17 W

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Championship Women U17 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mexico U17 W play Dominican Republic U17 W in the CONCACAF Championship Women U17 2022. It looks like a close match. Recently, Mexico U17 W averaged 2.53 goals scored and 0.85 conceded. Dominican Republic U17 W averaged 2.37 goals scored and 2.16 conceded. In past meetings, Mexico U17 W won 1, Dominican Republic U17 W won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 4, 2022 ended 10:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.09 for Mexico U17 W and 2.31 for Dominican Republic U17 W. This points to a Mexico U17 W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Mexico U17 W
15%
Draws
34%
Dominican Republic U17 W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mexico U17 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence
  • Mexico U17 W picked up more points recently compared to Dominican Republic U17 W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.09 vs 2.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 57%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 78%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35%
Mexico U17 W Clean Sheet 10%
Dominican Republic U17 W Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 70%
Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mexico U17 W Dominican Republic U17 W
Matches Played 34 19
Wins 20 9
Draws 4 3
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 2.53 2.37
Goals Conceded 0.85 2.16
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 4.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.43

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2022 CONCACAF Championship Women U17
Mexico U17 W vs Dominican Republic U17 W
10:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mexico U17 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Flores T.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Soto A.
3 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Dominican Republic U17 W Compare

Avg xG / game 3.64
Avg xA / game 2.22

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mexico U17 W 48 / 100
Dominican Republic U17 W 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mexico U17 W Dominican Republic U17 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Mexico U17 W or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +18.8%
2.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.7%
1.96
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Mexico U17 W attacking → ← attacking Dominican Republic U17 W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mexico U17 W scored in 82% of their last 34 games.

Dominican Republic U17 W let in goals in 63% of their last 19 matches.

Games between these two average 10.00 goals.

Mexico U17 W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Dominican Republic U17 W lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

64 Points in last 5 30
0.75 Goals expected (xG) 4.00
0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.43