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Mexico U20 vs Haiti U20

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Championship U20 2024 Estadio Sergio León Chavez, Irapuato
Mexico U20 Logo

Mexico U20

4 - 0
FT
Haiti U20 Logo

Haiti U20

Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Padilla Y.
Assist: Mendez F.
17'
Bretous J.
26'
Sub
Gay G. In: Louis I.
Out: Gay G.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Mexico U20 in this CONCACAF Championship U20 2024 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mexico U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Mexico U20
15%
Draws
28%
Haiti U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mexico U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Haiti U20 average 2.15 goals a game right now, well clear of Mexico U20's 1.66.
  • Mexico U20 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this CONCACAF Championship U20 2024 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Mexico U20 Clean Sheet 68%
Haiti U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mexico U20 Haiti U20
Matches Played 32 27
Wins 13 13
Draws 8 4
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.66 2.15
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.78
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 22, 2024 CONCACAF Championship U20
Mexico U20 vs Haiti U20
4:0
Jun 24, 2022 CONCACAF Championship U20
Mexico U20 vs Haiti U20
0:0
Jan 23, 2015 CONCACAF Championship U20
Haiti U20 vs Mexico U20
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mexico U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Padilla Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jurado H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Haiti U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mexico U20 95 / 100
Haiti U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mexico U20 Haiti U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mexico U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mexico U20 found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (32 games).

Haiti U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 27 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Mexico U20 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mexico U20 VS Haiti U20
2.25 Goals Scored 2.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Mexico U20

(Home)
30 Sept
Spain U20
2 : 0
Mexico U20
09 Aug
USA U20
0 : 2
Mexico U20
08 Aug
Canada U20
1 : 2
Mexico U20
06 Aug
Mexico U20
4 : 0
Panama U20
31 Jul
Mexico U20
4 : 0
Guatemala U20
Page 1 of 7

Haiti U20

(Away)
04 Aug
Costa Rica U20
2 : 1
Haiti U20
31 Jul
El Salvador U20
1 : 2
Haiti U20
28 Jul
Haiti U20
3 : 2
Cuba U20
26 Jul
USA U20
3 : 0
Haiti U20
07 Jun
Jamaica U20
9 : 0
Haiti U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 USA U20 3 3 0 0 14:0 9
2 Costa Rica U20 3 1 1 1 4:2 4
3 Cuba U20 3 1 1 1 4:5 4
4 Jamaica U20 3 0 0 3 0:15 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Championship U20 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Honduras U20 3 2 1 0 11:5 7
2 Canada U20 3 2 1 0 5:3 7
3 El Salvador U20 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
4 Dominican Republic U20 3 0 0 3 2:7 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Championship U20 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mexico U20 3 2 1 0 7:2 7
2 Panama U20 3 2 1 0 7:2 7
3 Guatemala U20 3 1 0 2 6:6 3
4 Haiti U20 3 0 0 3 2:12 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Championship U20 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams