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Mexico U21 vs Costa Rica U21

World World

Central American & Caribbean Games 1998
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Mexico U21 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Mexico U21
20%
Draws
23%
Costa Rica U21
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mexico U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mexico U21 come out ahead of Costa Rica U21 on wins alone.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Mexico U21 taking it.
  • Mexico U21 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Mexico U21, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Mexico U21 Clean Sheet 20%
Costa Rica U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mexico U21 Costa Rica U21
Matches Played 40 25
Wins 23 12
Draws 5 3
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.85 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.46 0.85
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 4, 2002 Central American & Caribbean Games
Mexico U21 vs Costa Rica U21
1:0
Aug 19, 1998 Central American & Caribbean Games
Mexico U21 vs Costa Rica U21
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mexico U21 85 / 100
Costa Rica U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mexico U21 Costa Rica U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mexico U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mexico U21 scored in 88% of their last 40 games.

Costa Rica U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 25 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Mexico U21 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mexico U21 VS Costa Rica U21
1.25 Goals Scored 0.33
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.67
75% Over 1.5 67%
50% Over 2.5 33%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mexico U21

(Home)
08 Aug
Mexico U21
2 : 3
Venezuela U21
05 Aug
Mexico U21
4 : 0
Panama U21
03 Aug
Mexico U21
4 : 1
Guatemala U21
01 Aug
Dominican Republic U21
1 : 1
Mexico U21
30 Jul
Mexico U21
1 : 0
Venezuela U21
Page 1 of 8

Costa Rica U21

(Away)
03 Aug
Costa Rica U21
1 : 1
Colombia U21
01 Aug
Costa Rica U21
0 : 3
Panama U21
30 Jul
Cuba U21
1 : 0
Costa Rica U21
24 Jul
Costa Rica U21
1 : 2
Honduras U21
22 Jul
Costa Rica U21
3 : 2
Trinidad & Tobago U21
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Venezuela U21 8
Nicaragua U21 1
Jamaica U21 2
Trinidad & Tobago U21 3
Costa Rica U21 1
El Salvador U21 0
Colombia U21 0
Mexico U21 2
Semi-finals
Venezuela U21 5
Trinidad & Tobago U21 2
Costa Rica U21 0
Mexico U21 2
Final
Venezuela U21 3
Mexico U21 1
Trinidad & Tobago U21 1
Costa Rica U21 6