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Mexico U21 vs Guatemala U21

World World

Central American & Caribbean Games 2002
Sun, Dec 1, 2002
2 - 1
09:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Mexico U21 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Mexico U21
15%
Draws
0%
Guatemala U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mexico U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Guatemala U21 haven't matched Mexico U21's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Mexico U21 a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Mexico U21 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Mexico U21, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Mexico U21 Clean Sheet 20%
Guatemala U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mexico U21 Guatemala U21
Matches Played 35 9
Wins 21 2
Draws 4 0
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.94 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.11 2.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.96 0.96
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 3, 2026 Central American & Caribbean Games
Mexico U21 vs Guatemala U21
4:1
Dec 1, 2002 Central American & Caribbean Games
Mexico U21 vs Guatemala U21
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mexico U21 85 / 100
Guatemala U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mexico U21 Guatemala U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mexico U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mexico U21 scored in 86% of their last 35 games.

Defensive concern: Guatemala U21 conceded in 89% of 9 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Away concern: Guatemala U21 has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mexico U21 VS Guatemala U21
1.25 Goals Scored 0.67
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.67
75% Over 1.5 67%
38% Over 2.5 67%
25% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

Mexico U21

(Home)
08 Aug
Mexico U21
2 : 3
Venezuela U21
05 Aug
Mexico U21
4 : 0
Panama U21
03 Aug
Mexico U21
4 : 1
Guatemala U21
01 Aug
Dominican Republic U21
1 : 1
Mexico U21
30 Jul
Mexico U21
1 : 0
Venezuela U21
Page 1 of 7

Guatemala U21

(Away)
03 Aug
Mexico U21
4 : 1
Guatemala U21
01 Aug
Venezuela U21
3 : 1
Guatemala U21
30 Jul
Guatemala U21
0 : 1
Dominican Republic U21
01 Dec
Mexico U21
2 : 1
Guatemala U21
26 Nov
Haiti U21
3 : 2
Guatemala U21
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
El Salvador U21 1
Venezuela U21 0
Haiti U21 2
Nicaragua U21 0
Mexico U21 2
Guatemala U21 1
Costa Rica U21 1
Honduras U21 0
Semi-finals
El Salvador U21 1
Haiti U21 0
Mexico U21 1
Costa Rica U21 0
Final
El Salvador U21 2
Mexico U21 1
Haiti U21 0
Costa Rica U21 1