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Mexico U21 vs Honduras U21

World World

Central American & Caribbean Games 2014
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AI Match Summary

Mexico U21 in this Central American & Caribbean Games 2014 matchup, with the score ending 5-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mexico U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Mexico U21
20%
Draws
40%
Honduras U21
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Mexico U21 have won more games recently than Honduras U21.
  • Model gives Mexico U21 a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Central American & Caribbean Games 2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Mexico U21 have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Mexico U21 Clean Sheet 17%
Honduras U21 Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mexico U21 Honduras U21
Matches Played 32 18
Wins 18 9
Draws 4 1
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.97 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 19, 2014 Central American & Caribbean Games
Mexico U21 vs Honduras U21
5:2
Jul 22, 2006 Central American & Caribbean Games
Honduras U21 vs Mexico U21
3:1
Nov 24, 2002 Central American & Caribbean Games
Mexico U21 vs Honduras U21
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mexico U21 48 / 100
Honduras U21 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mexico U21 Honduras U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mexico U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Mexico U21 scored in 84% of their last 32 outings.

H2H data points to 5.33 goals as a typical output.

Honduras U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 18 matches.

Mexico U21 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mexico U21 VS Honduras U21
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mexico U21

(Home)
08 Aug
Mexico U21
2 : 3
Venezuela U21
05 Aug
Mexico U21
4 : 0
Panama U21
03 Aug
Mexico U21
4 : 1
Guatemala U21
01 Aug
Dominican Republic U21
1 : 1
Mexico U21
30 Jul
Mexico U21
1 : 0
Venezuela U21
Page 1 of 7

Honduras U21

(Away)
31 Jul
Haiti U21
0 : 3
Honduras U21
28 Jul
Venezuela U21
1 : 0
Honduras U21
24 Jul
Costa Rica U21
1 : 2
Honduras U21
23 Jul
Colombia U21
1 : 1
Honduras U21
20 Jul
Honduras U21
2 : 0
Trinidad & Tobago U21
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mexico U21 3 3 0 0 12:2 9
2 Honduras U21 3 2 0 1 7:7 6
3 El Salvador U21 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
4 Jamaica U21 3 0 0 3 3:11 0
Promotion - Central American & Caribbean Games 2014 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Venezuela U21 3 2 1 0 5:0 7
2 Cuba U21 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
3 Costa Rica U21 3 0 1 2 3:5 1
4 Haiti U21 3 0 1 2 2:8 1
Promotion - Central American & Caribbean Games 2014 (Play Offs)