Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mexico U21 vs Venezuela U21

World World

Central American & Caribbean Games Estadio Cibao FC, Santiago
Mexico U21 Logo

Mexico U21

Sat, Aug 8, 2026
2 - 3
12:00 AM
Venezuela U21 Logo

Venezuela U21

Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Carrero L. F.
Assist: Torrealba S.
24' Event
Levy M.
30' Event
Claut D.
Assist: Gonzalez J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-3. This leg finished 2-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Mexico U21
15%
Draws
46%
Venezuela U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Venezuela U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Venezuela U21 average 2.28 goals a game right now, well clear of Mexico U21's 1.82.
  • Mexico U21 are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Venezuela U21, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 42.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Mexico U21 Clean Sheet 13%
Venezuela U21 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mexico U21 Venezuela U21
Matches Played 38 29
Wins 22 22
Draws 4 2
Losses 12 5
Goals Scored 1.82 2.28
Goals Conceded 1.11 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Central American & Caribbean Games
Mexico U21 vs Venezuela U21
2:3
Jul 30, 2026 Central American & Caribbean Games
Mexico U21 vs Venezuela U21
1:0
Jul 22, 2018 Central American & Caribbean Games
Mexico U21 vs Venezuela U21
1:2
Nov 29, 2014 Central American & Caribbean Games
Mexico U21 vs Venezuela U21
4:1
Jul 19, 2006 Central American & Caribbean Games
Mexico U21 vs Venezuela U21
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mexico U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Levy M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Venezuela U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Carrero L. F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Claut D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mexico U21 48 / 100
Venezuela U21 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mexico U21 Venezuela U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mexico U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mexico U21's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 38 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Mexico U21 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Venezuela U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Mexico U21 VS Venezuela U21
1.25 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.2
75% Over 1.5 60%
50% Over 2.5 60%
25% Over 3.5 60%

Recent Form & Match History

Mexico U21

(Home)
08 Aug
Mexico U21
2 : 3
Venezuela U21
05 Aug
Mexico U21
4 : 0
Panama U21
03 Aug
Mexico U21
4 : 1
Guatemala U21
01 Aug
Dominican Republic U21
1 : 1
Mexico U21
30 Jul
Mexico U21
1 : 0
Venezuela U21
Page 1 of 8

Venezuela U21

(Away)
08 Aug
Mexico U21
2 : 3
Venezuela U21
06 Aug
Colombia U21
0 : 1
Venezuela U21
03 Aug
Dominican Republic U21
2 : 3
Venezuela U21
01 Aug
Venezuela U21
3 : 1
Guatemala U21
30 Jul
Mexico U21
1 : 0
Venezuela U21
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Mexico U21 4
Panama U21 0
Colombia U21 0
Venezuela U21 1
Final
Mexico U21 2
Venezuela U21 3
Panama U21 2
Colombia U21 1