Sport Picks

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Mexico U23 vs Costa Rica U23

World World

Pan American Games 1995
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mexico U23 play Costa Rica U23 in the Pan American Games 1995. It looks like a close match. Recently, Mexico U23 averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. Costa Rica U23 averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, Mexico U23 won 2, Costa Rica U23 won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 22, 2021 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Mexico U23 and 1.44 for Costa Rica U23. This points to a Mexico U23 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Mexico U23
20%
Draws
38%
Costa Rica U23
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mexico U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Mexico U23 has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Costa Rica U23.
  • Model forecasts a 42% win probability edge for Mexico U23.
  • Cup tournament structure in Pan American Games 1995 increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Mexico U23 Clean Sheet 16%
Costa Rica U23 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mexico U23 Costa Rica U23
Matches Played 32 21
Wins 18 8
Draws 4 5
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.38 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.38 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2021 Olympic Games
Costa Rica U23 vs Mexico U23
0:3
Jul 30, 1999 Pan American Games
Mexico U23 vs Costa Rica U23
2:2
Mar 20, 1995 Pan American Games
Mexico U23 vs Costa Rica U23
3:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mexico U23 41 / 100
Costa Rica U23 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mexico U23 Costa Rica U23

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mexico U23 scored in 84% of their last 32 games.

Costa Rica U23 let in goals in 71% of their last 21 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Mexico U23 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Costa Rica U23 lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mexico U23 VS Costa Rica U23
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Argentina U231
Chile U230
Brazil U230
Honduras U231
Paraguay U230
Colombia U232
Mexico U233
Costa Rica U232
Semi-finals
Argentina U233
Honduras U232
Colombia U231
Mexico U232
Final
Argentina U231
Mexico U230
Honduras U230
Colombia U233