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Mexico U23 vs Guatemala U23

World World

Pan American Games 2003
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AI Match Summary

The Pan American Games 2003 game between Mexico U23 and Guatemala U23 finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Mexico U23
15%
Draws
21%
Guatemala U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mexico U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mexico U23 come out ahead of Guatemala U23 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Mexico U23's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Pan American Games 2003 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Mexico U23 Clean Sheet 20%
Guatemala U23 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mexico U23 Guatemala U23
Matches Played 31 11
Wins 17 2
Draws 4 2
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.71 0.82
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2003 Pan American Games
Mexico U23 vs Guatemala U23
1:1
Jul 26, 1999 Pan American Games
Guatemala U23 vs Mexico U23
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mexico U23 85 / 100
Guatemala U23 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mexico U23 Guatemala U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mexico U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mexico U23 scored in 84% of their last 31 games.

Guatemala U23's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 11 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Mexico U23 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mexico U23 VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mexico U23

(Home)
10 Oct
Netherlands U21
1 : 0
Mexico U23
09 Sept
Mexico U23
2 : 1
Panama U23
06 Sept
Mexico U23
4 : 1
Panama U23
14 Jun
Mexico U23
1 : 3
Japan U19
11 Jun
South Korea U21
0 : 1
Mexico U23
Page 1 of 7

Guatemala U23

(Away)
11 Jun
Guatemala U23
0 : 4
England U20
08 Jun
France U18
2 : 1
Guatemala U23
05 Jun
Qatar U23
0 : 2
Guatemala U23
02 Jun
Brazil U22
4 : 0
Guatemala U23
08 Aug
Guatemala U23
0 : 2
Paraguay U23
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Argentina U23 3 3 0 0 7:4 9
2 Mexico U23 3 1 1 1 7:6 4
3 Paraguay U23 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
4 Guatemala U23 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
Promotion - Pan American Games 2003 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brazil U23 3 3 0 0 11:1 9
2 Colombia U23 3 2 0 1 5:5 6
3 Cuba U23 3 0 1 2 2:4 1
4 Dominica U23 3 0 1 2 2:10 1
Promotion - Pan American Games 2003 (Play Offs)