Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mexico U23 vs Panama U23

World World

Friendly International 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Castillo J.
13' Event
Herrera G.
67' Event
Herrera A.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2024 game between Mexico U23 and Panama U23 finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mexico U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Mexico U23
15%
Draws
21%
Panama U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mexico U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Mexico U23 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Mexico U23 a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Friendly International 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Mexico U23 Clean Sheet 16%
Panama U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mexico U23 Panama U23
Matches Played 30 22
Wins 16 10
Draws 4 2
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.63 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2024 Friendly International
Mexico U23 vs Panama U23
2:1
Sep 6, 2024 Friendly International
Mexico U23 vs Panama U23
4:1
Jun 18, 2023 Maurice Revello Tournament
Panama U23 vs Mexico U23
4:1
Jul 29, 2019 Pan American Games
Panama U23 vs Mexico U23
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mexico U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Herrera A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Castillo J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Panama U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Herrera G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mexico U23 75 / 100
Panama U23 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mexico U23 Panama U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mexico U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mexico U23 scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

Defensive concern: Panama U23 conceded in 77% of 22 recent games.

Solid form: Mexico U23 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mexico U23 VS Panama U23
2.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Mexico U23

(Home)
10 Oct
Netherlands U21
1 : 0
Mexico U23
09 Sept
Mexico U23
2 : 1
Panama U23
06 Sept
Mexico U23
4 : 1
Panama U23
14 Jun
Mexico U23
1 : 3
Japan U19
11 Jun
South Korea U21
0 : 1
Mexico U23
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Panama U23

(Away)
09 Sept
Mexico U23
2 : 1
Panama U23
06 Sept
Mexico U23
4 : 1
Panama U23
14 Jun
Saudi Arabia U23
1 : 2
Panama U23
12 Jun
Japan U19
1 : 0
Panama U23
10 Jun
Italy U21
3 : 2
Panama U23
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