Sport Picks
Mexico vs Collado Villalba Prediction & H2H Stats
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025 
Match Events
54'
54'
Apostu A.
82'
82'
Alonso Moran J.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025 game between Mexico and Collado Villalba finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
33%
/ Low Confidence
- Mexico have managed 1.22 goals a game lately — Collado Villalba are scoring more at 1.37.
- Win probability leans Mexico's way, sitting at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Mexico have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Mexico Clean Sheet 20%
Collado Villalba Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mexico | Collado Villalba |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 36 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 13 |
| Draws | 11 | 8 |
| Losses | 12 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.22 | 1.37 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.36 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.04 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Mexico vs Collado Villalba
1:1
Dec 8, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Collado Villalba vs Mexico
1:2
Mar 6, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Collado Villalba vs Mexico
0:1
Oct 18, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Mexico vs Collado Villalba
8:0
Apr 6, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Mexico vs Collado Villalba
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Mexico Compare
Top Goalscorer Apostu A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52
Collado Villalba Compare
Top Goalscorer Alonso Moran J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mexico 49 / 100
Collado Villalba 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mexico Collado Villalba
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Mexico Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Mexico's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 36 recent games.
Collado Villalba's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Mexico went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Mexico VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Mexico
(Home) 03 Oct
Mexico
1 : 0 CP Parla Escuela
27 Sept
Siello
3 : 2 Mexico
19 Sept
Mexico
1 : 1 Union Adarve
13 Sept
AD Torrejon
1 : 0 Mexico
05 Sept
Mexico
0 : 0 CF Fuenlabrada
Page 1 of 8
03 Oct
Mexico
1 : 0 CP Parla Escuela
19 Sept
Mexico
1 : 1 Union Adarve
05 Sept
Mexico
0 : 0 CF Fuenlabrada
03 May
Mexico
0 : 2 Trival Valderas
18 Apr
Mexico
2 : 2 Parla
Page 1 of 4
Collado Villalba
(Away) 11 May
Collado Villalba
0 : 1 Galapagar
04 May
Trival Valderas
1 : 1 Collado Villalba
26 Apr
Collado Villalba
4 : 2 Aravaca CF
16 Apr
Mexico
1 : 1 Collado Villalba
12 Apr
Collado Villalba
1 : 2 Parla
Page 1 of 6
04 May
Trival Valderas
1 : 1 Collado Villalba
16 Apr
Mexico
1 : 1 Collado Villalba
06 Apr
Villaverde San Andres
5 : 2 Collado Villalba
23 Mar
Canillas
0 : 2 Collado Villalba
09 Mar
AD Torrejon
2 : 1 Collado Villalba
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RSD Alcala | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 68:32 | 75 |
| 2 | Rayo Vallecano B | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 71:52 | 61 |
| 3 | AD Torrejon | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 55:48 | 58 |
| 4 | Villaverde San Andres | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 52:37 | 54 |
| 5 | Galapagar | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 45:41 | 54 |
| 6 | CD Las Rozas | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 45:42 | 54 |
| 7 | Collado Villalba | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 44:36 | 52 |
| 8 | Leganes B | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 58:38 | 51 |
| 9 | Alcorcon B | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 55:50 | 47 |
| 10 | Trival Valderas | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 47:47 | 46 |
| 11 | Tres Cantos | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 43:44 | 45 |
| 12 | Mexico | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 35:49 | 42 |
| 13 | Carabanchel | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 30:29 | 42 |
| 14 | Parla | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38:58 | 38 |
| 15 | Cala Pozuelo | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 42:51 | 38 |
| 16 | Aravaca CF | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 42:52 | 35 |
| 17 | Canillas | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 36:68 | 23 |
| 18 | El Alamo | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 29:61 | 22 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
