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Mexico vs Leganes B - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

26'
Cidoncha S.
26'
Cidoncha S.
89' Event
Rodriguez G.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 game between Mexico and Leganes B finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Leganes B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Mexico
30%
Draws
41%
Leganes B
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Leganes B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Mexico carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Leganes B here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Mexico Clean Sheet 18%
Leganes B Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mexico Leganes B
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 10
Draws 8 7
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.24 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Leganes B vs Mexico
1:2
Jan 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Mexico vs Leganes B
0:1
Jan 18, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Mexico vs Leganes B
1:2
Sep 8, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Leganes B vs Mexico
4:0
Mar 12, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Leganes B vs Mexico
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mexico Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Leganes B Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mexico 32 / 100
Leganes B 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mexico Leganes B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leganes B Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mexico found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Leganes B conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Mexico stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mexico VS Leganes B
0.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mexico

(Home)
03 Oct
Mexico
1 : 0
CP Parla Escuela
27 Sept
Siello
3 : 2
Mexico
19 Sept
Mexico
1 : 1
Union Adarve
13 Sept
AD Torrejon
1 : 0
Mexico
05 Sept
Mexico
0 : 0
CF Fuenlabrada
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Leganes B

(Away)
04 Oct
CD Mostoles
1 : 1
Leganes B
26 Sept
Cala Pozuelo
1 : 0
Leganes B
19 Sept
Leganes B
4 : 1
Rayo Vallecano B
13 Sept
CD Las Rozas
3 : 2
Leganes B
06 Sept
Leganes B
2 : 0
Real Aranjuez
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Madrid C 34 18 10 6 83:46 64
2 Trival Valderas 34 18 6 10 50:36 60
3 AD Torrejon 34 17 9 8 57:46 60
4 CD Las Rozas 34 16 8 10 58:42 56
5 Leganes B 34 15 9 10 63:33 54
6 Union Adarve 34 15 8 11 48:42 53
7 CD Mostoles 34 14 9 11 51:45 51
8 San Sebastian Reyes B 34 12 13 9 45:35 49
9 Pozuelo de Alarcon 34 12 12 10 40:33 48
10 Galapagar 34 11 13 10 42:47 46
11 Mexico 34 12 9 13 45:49 45
12 Siello 34 13 5 16 39:45 44
13 Alcorcon B 34 11 11 12 37:34 44
14 Villaverde San Andres 34 10 13 11 32:44 43
15 Carabanchel 34 9 11 14 30:36 38
16 Tres Cantos 34 10 3 21 40:65 33
17 Parla 34 7 6 21 29:66 27
18 Ciudad de Madrid 34 5 7 22 31:76 22
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 (Play Offs)