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Mexico vs Parla

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Manzano C.
37' Event
Alvarez B.
83' Event
Corral S.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Mexico
6%
Draws
4%
Parla
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Mexico

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mexico lately — more wins on the board than Parla.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Mexico taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Mexico Clean Sheet 68%
Parla Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mexico Parla
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 6
Draws 9 4
Losses 10 20
Goals Scored 1.38 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.75 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Mexico vs Parla
2:2
Dec 14, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Parla vs Mexico
1:3
Mar 15, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Mexico vs Parla
0:2
Nov 3, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Parla vs Mexico
1:2
Apr 23, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Mexico vs Parla
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mexico Compare

Top Goalscorer Corral S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Heranz J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Parla Compare

Top Goalscorer Manzano C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alvarez B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mexico 95 / 100
Parla 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mexico Parla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MEX Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Parla let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Mexico scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Mexico remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mexico VS Parla
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Mexico

(Home)
10 May
Leganes B
1 : 2
Mexico
03 May
Mexico
0 : 2
Trival Valderas
26 Apr
AD Torrejon
3 : 3
Mexico
18 Apr
Mexico
2 : 2
Parla
11 Apr
Alcorcon B
1 : 1
Mexico
Page 1 of 6

Parla

(Away)
10 May
AD Torrejon
1 : 0
Parla
03 May
Parla
0 : 5
Galapagar
26 Apr
Parla
0 : 4
Alcorcon B
18 Apr
Mexico
2 : 2
Parla
12 Apr
Parla
3 : 4
Tres Cantos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atl. Madrid C341810683:4664
2Trival Valderas341861050:3660
3AD Torrejon34179857:4660
4CD Las Rozas341681058:4256
5Leganes B341591063:3354
6Union Adarve341581148:4253
7CD Mostoles341491151:4551
8San Sebastian Reyes B341213945:3549
9Pozuelo de Alarcon3412121040:3348
10Galapagar3411131042:4746
11Mexico341291345:4945
12Siello341351639:4544
13Alcorcon B3411111237:3444
14Villaverde San Andres3410131132:4443
15Carabanchel349111430:3638
16Tres Cantos341032140:6533
17Parla34762129:6627
18Ciudad de Madrid34572231:7622
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 (Play Offs)