Sport Picks
Match Events
29'
29'
Manzano C.
37'
37'
Alvarez B.
83'
83'
Corral S.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
58%
30%
12%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mexico
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Mexico lately — more wins on the board than Parla.
- 58% — that's where the model lands on Mexico taking it.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Mexico Clean Sheet 68%
Parla Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mexico | Parla |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 6 |
| Draws | 8 | 4 |
| Losses | 11 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 1.23 | 0.87 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.33 | 2.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.06 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 18, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Mexico vs Parla
2:2
Dec 14, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Parla vs Mexico
1:3
Mar 15, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Mexico vs Parla
0:2
Nov 3, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Parla vs Mexico
1:2
Apr 23, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Mexico vs Parla
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Mexico Compare
Top Goalscorer Corral S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Heranz J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03
Parla Compare
Top Goalscorer Manzano C.
1 Goals Assists Leader Alvarez B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mexico 95 / 100
Parla 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mexico Parla
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Mexico Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Parla let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.
Mexico scored in 70% of their last 30 games.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Mexico remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Mexico VS Parla
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Mexico
(Home) 13 Sept
AD Torrejon
1 : 0 Mexico
05 Sept
Mexico
0 : 0 CF Fuenlabrada
10 May
Leganes B
1 : 2 Mexico
03 May
Mexico
0 : 2 Trival Valderas
26 Apr
AD Torrejon
3 : 3 Mexico
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Mexico
0 : 0 CF Fuenlabrada
03 May
Mexico
0 : 2 Trival Valderas
18 Apr
Mexico
2 : 2 Parla
28 Mar
Mexico
0 : 5 Tres Cantos
14 Mar
Mexico
1 : 0 CD Mostoles
Page 1 of 3
Parla
(Away) 10 May
AD Torrejon
1 : 0 Parla
03 May
Parla
0 : 5 Galapagar
26 Apr
Parla
0 : 4 Alcorcon B
18 Apr
Mexico
2 : 2 Parla
12 Apr
Parla
3 : 4 Tres Cantos
Page 1 of 6
10 May
AD Torrejon
1 : 0 Parla
18 Apr
Mexico
2 : 2 Parla
05 Apr
Carabanchel
3 : 1 Parla
22 Mar
San Sebastian Reyes B
2 : 3 Parla
08 Mar
CD Las Rozas
3 : 0 Parla
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atl. Madrid C | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 83:46 | 64 |
| 2 | Trival Valderas | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 50:36 | 60 |
| 3 | AD Torrejon | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 57:46 | 60 |
| 4 | CD Las Rozas | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 58:42 | 56 |
| 5 | Leganes B | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 63:33 | 54 |
| 6 | Union Adarve | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 48:42 | 53 |
| 7 | CD Mostoles | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 51:45 | 51 |
| 8 | San Sebastian Reyes B | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 45:35 | 49 |
| 9 | Pozuelo de Alarcon | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 40:33 | 48 |
| 10 | Galapagar | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 42:47 | 46 |
| 11 | Mexico | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 45:49 | 45 |
| 12 | Siello | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 39:45 | 44 |
| 13 | Alcorcon B | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 37:34 | 44 |
| 14 | Villaverde San Andres | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 32:44 | 43 |
| 15 | Carabanchel | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 30:36 | 38 |
| 16 | Tres Cantos | 34 | 10 | 3 | 21 | 40:65 | 33 |
| 17 | Parla | 34 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 29:66 | 27 |
| 18 | Ciudad de Madrid | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 31:76 | 22 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
