Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mexico vs Serbia

World World

Friendly International Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Dragojevic V.
19' Event
Stanic P.
34' Event
Vasquez J.
Assist: Gutierrez B.

AI Match Summary

Mexico in this Friendly International matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mexico.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Mexico
15%
Draws
28%
Serbia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mexico

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Mexico have won more games recently than Serbia.
  • Model gives Mexico a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Friendly International form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Mexico Clean Sheet 20%
Serbia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mexico Serbia
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 18 9
Draws 7 7
Losses 4 11
Goals Scored 1.59 0.89
Goals Conceded 0.76 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 0.34
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 5, 2026 Friendly International
Mexico vs Serbia
5:1
Nov 12, 2011 Friendly International
Mexico vs Serbia
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mexico Compare

Top Goalscorer Vasquez J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jimenez R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.38
Avg xA / game 0.9

Serbia Compare

Top Goalscorer Stanic P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.31
Avg xA / game 0.19

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mexico 85 / 100
Serbia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mexico Serbia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mexico Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mexico found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Serbia conceded in 63% of 27 recent games.

Mexico has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mexico VS Serbia
1.88 Goals Scored 0.43
0.25 Goals Conceded 1.71
50% Over 1.5 57%
25% Over 2.5 57%
25% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Mexico

(Home)
06 Jul
Mexico
2 : 3
England
01 Jul
Mexico
2 : 0
Ecuador
25 Jun
Czech Republic
0 : 3
Mexico
19 Jun
Mexico
1 : 0
South Korea
11 Jun
Mexico
2 : 0
South Africa
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Serbia

(Away)
05 Jun
Mexico
5 : 1
Serbia
31 May
Cape Verde
3 : 0
Serbia
31 Mar
Serbia
2 : 1
Saudi Arabia
27 Mar
Spain
3 : 0
Serbia
16 Nov
Serbia
2 : 1
Latvia
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