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Mexico vs Trival Valderas

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Salazar G.
45' Event
Salazar G.

AI Match Summary

Trival Valderas in this Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Trival Valderas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Mexico
35%
Draws
37%
Trival Valderas
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Trival Valderas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Trival Valderas have won more games recently than Mexico.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 60.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Mexico Clean Sheet 18%
Trival Valderas Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mexico Trival Valderas
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 17
Draws 8 7
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 1.28 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.34 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.82 1.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Mexico vs Trival Valderas
0:2
Jan 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Trival Valderas vs Mexico
2:3
Apr 5, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Mexico vs Trival Valderas
1:2
Nov 24, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Trival Valderas vs Mexico
1:2
Jan 29, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Trival Valderas vs Mexico
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mexico Compare

Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.41

Trival Valderas Compare

Top Goalscorer Salazar G.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.21
Avg xA / game 0.74

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mexico 32 / 100
Trival Valderas 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mexico Trival Valderas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Trival Valderas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Mexico scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Mexico went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Trival Valderas let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Mexico VS Trival Valderas
1.14 Goals Scored 1.38
1.29 Goals Conceded 0.5
71% Over 1.5 50%
43% Over 2.5 25%
29% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mexico

(Home)
05 Sept
Mexico
0 : 0
CF Fuenlabrada
10 May
Leganes B
1 : 2
Mexico
03 May
Mexico
0 : 2
Trival Valderas
26 Apr
AD Torrejon
3 : 3
Mexico
18 Apr
Mexico
2 : 2
Parla
Page 1 of 6

Trival Valderas

(Away)
06 Sept
Trival Valderas
3 : 1
Siello
20 Jun
La Nucia
1 : 0
Trival Valderas
14 Jun
Trival Valderas
0 : 0
La Nucia
07 Jun
Trival Valderas
3 : 1
CD Las Rozas
31 May
CD Las Rozas
1 : 1
Trival Valderas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Madrid C 34 18 10 6 83:46 64
2 Trival Valderas 34 18 6 10 50:36 60
3 AD Torrejon 34 17 9 8 57:46 60
4 CD Las Rozas 34 16 8 10 58:42 56
5 Leganes B 34 15 9 10 63:33 54
6 Union Adarve 34 15 8 11 48:42 53
7 CD Mostoles 34 14 9 11 51:45 51
8 San Sebastian Reyes B 34 12 13 9 45:35 49
9 Pozuelo de Alarcon 34 12 12 10 40:33 48
10 Galapagar 34 11 13 10 42:47 46
11 Mexico 34 12 9 13 45:49 45
12 Siello 34 13 5 16 39:45 44
13 Alcorcon B 34 11 11 12 37:34 44
14 Villaverde San Andres 34 10 13 11 32:44 43
15 Carabanchel 34 9 11 14 30:36 38
16 Tres Cantos 34 10 3 21 40:65 33
17 Parla 34 7 6 21 29:66 27
18 Ciudad de Madrid 34 5 7 22 31:76 22
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 (Play Offs)