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Mexico W vs Colombia W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Friendly International Women 2025 Estadio Agustín "Coruco" Díaz, Zacatepec
Our Tip

Match Events

26'
Baron A.
46'
Sub
Loboa V. In: Santos L.
Out: Loboa V.
46'
Sub
Bernal K. In: Delgado A.
Out: Bernal K.

AI Match Summary

Mexico W in this Friendly International Women 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mexico W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Mexico W
15%
Draws
35%
Colombia W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mexico W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Mexico W have won more games recently than Colombia W.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Mexico W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
Mexico W Clean Sheet 68%
Colombia W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mexico W Colombia W
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 22 15
Draws 4 7
Losses 2 7
Goals Scored 3.11 1.83
Goals Conceded 0.39 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2026 Central American & Caribbean Games Women
Colombia W vs Mexico W
1:2
Jul 31, 2026 Central American & Caribbean Games Women
Colombia W vs Mexico W
0:1
Jul 2, 2025 Friendly International Women
Mexico W vs Colombia W
1:0
Jun 28, 2025 Friendly International Women
Mexico W vs Colombia W
0:0
Apr 6, 2024 Friendly International Women
Colombia W vs Mexico W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mexico W Compare

Top Goalscorer Ordonez D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Colombia W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mexico W 95 / 100
Colombia W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mexico W Colombia W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mexico W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mexico W's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Mexico W has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Colombia W let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Mexico W VS Colombia W
2.75 Goals Scored 2.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mexico W

(Home)
07 Aug
Colombia W
1 : 2
Mexico W
05 Aug
Mexico W
4 : 1
El Salvador W
02 Aug
Jamaica W
0 : 7
Mexico W
31 Jul
Colombia W
0 : 1
Mexico W
29 Jul
Mexico W
0 : 0
Puerto Rico W
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Colombia W

(Away)
07 Aug
Colombia W
1 : 2
Mexico W
04 Aug
Venezuela W
2 : 3
Colombia W
02 Aug
Puerto Rico W
0 : 3
Colombia W
31 Jul
Colombia W
0 : 1
Mexico W
29 Jul
Jamaica W
0 : 5
Colombia W
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