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Mexico W vs Haiti W

World World

Central American & Caribbean Games Women 2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mexico W play Haiti W in the Central American & Caribbean Games Women 2014. It looks like a close match. Recently, Mexico W averaged 3.08 goals scored and 0.6 conceded. Haiti W averaged 2.8 goals scored and 1.37 conceded. In past meetings, Mexico W won 2, Haiti W won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 8, 2022 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.18 for Mexico W and 2.12 for Haiti W. This points to a Mexico W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Mexico W
15%
Draws
31%
Haiti W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mexico W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence
  • Mexico W picked up more points recently compared to Haiti W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.18 vs 2.12 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 62%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Mexico W Clean Sheet 10%
Haiti W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 71%
Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mexico W Haiti W
Matches Played 40 30
Wins 29 14
Draws 4 2
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 3.08 2.8
Goals Conceded 0.6 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 3.50 3.14

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 8, 2022 CONCACAF Championship Women
Haiti W vs Mexico W
3:0
Jul 22, 2018 Central American & Caribbean Games Women
Mexico W vs Haiti W
3:0
Nov 21, 2014 Central American & Caribbean Games Women
Mexico W vs Haiti W
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mexico W 51 / 100
Haiti W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mexico W Haiti W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mexico W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Mexico W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.2%
2.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.79
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Mexico W attacking → ← attacking Haiti W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mexico W scored in 83% of their last 40 games.

Haiti W let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.33 goals.

Mexico W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Haiti W lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

91 Points in last 5 44
3.50 Goals expected (xG) 3.14
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.86

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Colombia W321011:17
2Mexico W32108:17
3Haiti W30121:51
4Trinidad & Tobago W30121:141
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Costa Rica W330011:29
2Venezuela W320110:46
3Nicaragua W31021:63
4Dominican Republic W30033:130