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Stadium Background

Mexico W vs Jamaica W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Friendly International Women Estadio Victoria, Aguascalientes
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Brown J.
Assist: Bailey-Gayle P.
20' Event
Shaw K.
Assist: Spence D.
29' Event
Ovalle L.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International Women game between Mexico W and Jamaica W finished 3-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jamaica W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Mexico W
20%
Draws
19%
Jamaica W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mexico W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Jamaica W haven't matched Mexico W's recent run of results.
  • Mexico W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Friendly International Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Mexico W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.4%
Mexico W Clean Sheet 20%
Jamaica W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mexico W Jamaica W
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 22 10
Draws 4 4
Losses 2 14
Goals Scored 3.11 1.75
Goals Conceded 0.39 2.39
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2026 Friendly International Women
Mexico W vs Jamaica W
3:4
Aug 2, 2026 Central American & Caribbean Games Women
Jamaica W vs Mexico W
0:7
Apr 9, 2025 Friendly International Women
Mexico W vs Jamaica W
4:0
Apr 5, 2025 Friendly International Women
Mexico W vs Jamaica W
3:0
Oct 22, 2023 Pan American Games Women
Mexico W vs Jamaica W
7:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mexico W Compare

Top Goalscorer Ovalle L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bernal R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.97
Avg xA / game 1.28

Jamaica W Compare

Top Goalscorer Brown J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Shaw K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mexico W 85 / 100
Jamaica W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mexico W Jamaica W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mexico W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mexico W's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 5.60 goals as a typical output.

Mexico W went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Jamaica W conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Mexico W VS Jamaica W
3.25 Goals Scored 1.25
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Mexico W

(Home)
07 Aug
Colombia W
1 : 2
Mexico W
05 Aug
Mexico W
4 : 1
El Salvador W
02 Aug
Jamaica W
0 : 7
Mexico W
31 Jul
Colombia W
0 : 1
Mexico W
29 Jul
Mexico W
0 : 0
Puerto Rico W
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Jamaica W

(Away)
02 Aug
Jamaica W
0 : 7
Mexico W
31 Jul
Puerto Rico W
1 : 0
Jamaica W
29 Jul
Jamaica W
0 : 5
Colombia W
09 Jun
Panama W
0 : 0
Jamaica W
06 Jun
Panama W
0 : 1
Jamaica W
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