Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mexico W vs United States Virgin Islands W

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Championship Women Estadio Carlos Vega Villalba, Zacatecas
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Sanchez M.
Assist: Camberos S.
9' Event
Corral V.
Assist: Bernal R.
19' Event
Sanchez M.
Assist: Robles K.

AI Match Summary

Mexico W in this CONCACAF Championship Women matchup, with the score ending 9-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mexico W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Mexico W
6%
Draws
4%
United States Virgin Islands W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Mexico W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mexico W lately — more wins on the board than United States Virgin Islands W.
  • Model gives Mexico W a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 54%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 57.8%
Mexico W Clean Sheet 10%
United States Virgin Islands W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mexico W United States Virgin Islands W
Matches Played 27 31
Wins 18 9
Draws 4 1
Losses 5 21
Goals Scored 3.5 2.83
Goals Conceded 0 3.33
Expected Goals (xG) 3.50 2.83

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 CONCACAF Championship Women
Mexico W vs United States Virgin Islands W
9:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mexico W Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanchez M.
4 Goals
Assists Leader Corral V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.69
Avg xA / game 1.75

United States Virgin Islands W Compare

Avg xG / game 2.57
Avg xA / game 1.57

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mexico W 83 / 100
United States Virgin Islands W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mexico W United States Virgin Islands W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MEX Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mexico W's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

These sides typically produce 9.00 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: United States Virgin Islands W conceded in 74% of 31 recent games.

Mexico W has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mexico W VS United States Virgin Islands W
3.5 Goals Scored 2.83
0 Goals Conceded 3.33
50% Over 1.5 83%
25% Over 2.5 83%
25% Over 3.5 83%

Recent Form & Match History

Mexico W

(Home)
09 Jun
Australia W
3 : 1
Mexico W
06 Jun
Australia W
0 : 1
Mexico W
19 Apr
Mexico W
6 : 0
Puerto Rico W
11 Apr
Mexico W
9 : 0
United States Virgin Islands W
07 Mar
Mexico W
1 : 0
Brazil W
Page 1 of 6

United States Virgin Islands W

(Away)
14 Apr
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines W
1 : 0
United States Virgin Islands W
11 Apr
Mexico W
9 : 0
United States Virgin Islands W
05 Mar
United States Virgin Islands W
0 : 9
Puerto Rico W
27 Nov
United States Virgin Islands W
3 : 1
Saint Lucia W
25 Oct
United States Virgin Islands W
6 : 0
British Virgin Islands W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mexico W440036:012
2Puerto Rico W430126:69
3Saint Vincent and the Grenadines W42022:246
4United States Virgin Islands W41033:203
5Saint Lucia W40041:180
Promotion - CONCACAF Championship Women (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Jamaica W440027:212
2Nicaragua W430123:49
3Guyana W42028:56
4Antigua and Barbuda W40131:131
5Dominica W40131:361
Promotion - CONCACAF Championship Women (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Costa Rica W440034:112
2Guatemala W430123:49
3Bermuda W420210:156
4Grenada W41037:143
5Cayman Islands W40041:410
Promotion - CONCACAF Championship Women (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Haiti W431017:110
2Dominican Republic W422017:48
3Belize W42025:156
4Suriname W41125:74
5Anguilla W40041:180
Promotion - CONCACAF Championship Women (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Panama W440015:212
2Cuba W42116:57
3Aruba W42029:66
4Curacao W41034:163
5Saint Kitts and Nevis W40134:91
Promotion - CONCACAF Championship Women (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1El Salvador W330018:09
2Trinidad & Tobago W31117:44
3Honduras W31116:54
4Barbados W30030:220
Promotion - CONCACAF Championship Women (Main)