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Stadium Background

Mexico W vs Uruguay W

World World

Friendly International Women 2025 Estadio Universitario BUAP, Puebla
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Mejia A.
20' Event
Delgadillo M.
Assist: Casarez J. A.
46'
Sub
Correa Y. In: Ramondegui S.
Out: Correa Y.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International Women 2025 game between Mexico W and Uruguay W finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Mexico W
20%
Draws
19%
Uruguay W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mexico W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Uruguay W haven't matched Mexico W's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Mexico W a 61% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Friendly International Women 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Mexico W Clean Sheet 68%
Uruguay W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mexico W Uruguay W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 22 10
Draws 5 8
Losses 3 12
Goals Scored 2.93 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.43 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 4, 2025 Friendly International Women
Mexico W vs Uruguay W
1:0
May 31, 2025 Friendly International Women
Mexico W vs Uruguay W
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mexico W Compare

Top Goalscorer Delgadillo M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Casarez J. A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Uruguay W Compare

Top Goalscorer Lacoste S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gonzalez P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mexico W 95 / 100
Uruguay W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mexico W Uruguay W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mexico W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Mexico W scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Mexico W has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Uruguay W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Scoring Trends

Mexico W VS Uruguay W
3.38 Goals Scored 1.13
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mexico W

(Home)
07 Aug
Colombia W
1 : 2
Mexico W
05 Aug
Mexico W
4 : 1
El Salvador W
02 Aug
Jamaica W
0 : 7
Mexico W
31 Jul
Colombia W
0 : 1
Mexico W
29 Jul
Mexico W
0 : 0
Puerto Rico W
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Uruguay W

(Away)
09 Jun
Uruguay W
1 : 1
Venezuela W
05 Jun
Colombia W
1 : 0
Uruguay W
18 Apr
Uruguay W
1 : 3
Chile W
14 Apr
Bolivia W
1 : 2
Uruguay W
10 Apr
Peru W
2 : 1
Uruguay W
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