Sport Picks

Italy

Serie C2/A 2010/2011 Stadio Briamasco

Rodengo Saiano

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Mezzocorona play Rodengo Saiano in the Serie C2/A 2010/2011. Rodengo Saiano are favorites here. Recently, Mezzocorona averaged 0.66 goals scored and 2.38 conceded. Rodengo Saiano averaged 0.87 goals scored and 0.93 conceded. In past meetings, Mezzocorona won 1, Rodengo Saiano won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 16, 2011 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.10 for Mezzocorona and 1.44 for Rodengo Saiano. This points to a Rodengo Saiano double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%

Mezzocorona

22%

Draws

57%

Rodengo Saiano

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Rodengo Saiano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

86% / Very High Confidence

Mezzocorona picked up more points recently compared to Rodengo Saiano.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.10 vs 1.44 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 66%

Over 2.5 Goals 43%

Over 3.5 Goals 26%

Over 4.5 Goals 13%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43%

Mezzocorona Clean Sheet 16%

Rodengo Saiano Clean Sheet 14%

First Half Goal 59%

Second Half Goal 63%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Mezzocorona	Rodengo Saiano
Matches Played	32	30
Wins	4	10
Draws	5	9
Losses	23	11
Goals Scored	0.66	0.87
Goals Conceded	2.38	0.93

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 16, 2011 Lega Pro C2/A

Mezzocorona vs Rodengo Saiano

Possession: 43% - 49% Cards: 2 - 0

2:1

Dec 8, 2010 Lega Pro C2/A

Rodengo Saiano vs Mezzocorona

Possession: 45% - 53% Cards: 2 - 3

1:0

Jan 24, 2010 Lega Pro C2/A

Mezzocorona vs Rodengo Saiano

Possession: 55% - 52% Cards: 2 - 2

2:3

Sep 13, 2009 Lega Pro C2/A

Rodengo Saiano vs Mezzocorona

Possession: 56% - 45% Cards: 4 - 2

2:1

Feb 14, 2009 Lega Pro C2/A

Mezzocorona vs Rodengo Saiano

Possession: 57% - 48% Cards: 1 - 0

1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mezzocorona 22 / 100

Rodengo Saiano 54 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Mezzocorona Rodengo Saiano

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rodengo Saiano Win (2)

Secondary Pick Rodengo Saiano & Under 3.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +61.5%

7.69

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +16.1%

2.70

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Mezzocorona attacking → ← attacking Rodengo Saiano

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mezzocorona scored in 47% of their last 32 games.

Rodengo Saiano let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Mezzocorona went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Rodengo Saiano lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

17 Points in last 5 39

1.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Tritium	32	17	10	5	49:25	61
2	Pro Patria	32	18	5	9	57:34	59
3	FeralpiSalo	32	16	11	5	36:22	59
4	Savona	32	13	14	5	36:26	53
5	Pro Vercelli	32	12	16	4	36:23	52
6	Renate	32	13	11	8	42:28	50
7	Lecco	32	13	8	11	32:34	47
8	Canavese	32	12	8	12	33:33	44
9	Rodengo Saiano	32	11	10	11	28:29	43
10	Montichiari	32	9	14	9	28:28	41
11	Casale	32	9	10	13	25:41	37
12	Valenzana	32	7	13	12	24:33	34
13	Sambonifacese	32	7	13	12	36:41	34
14	Entella	32	6	14	12	30:35	32
15	Sacilese	32	5	12	15	27:45	27
16	Sanremese	32	5	12	15	24:38	27
17	Mezzocorona	32	6	5	21	24:52	23